San Diego Padres (22-24) vs. Atlanta Braves (26-14)
May 17, 2024 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -222 / San Diego Padres +184; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Truist Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres need a win after recent losses to the Dodgers and Rockies. The San Diego Padres have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The San Diego Padres have lost 7 of their last 9 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 49 hits and 29 RBI, while Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jake Cronenworth have combined for 88 hits and 49 RBI.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 26-14 on the year after recent wins over the Mets and Cubs. The Atlanta Braves have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Atlanta Braves have won 10 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 48 hits and 41 RBI, while Michael Harris II and Ronald Acuna Jr. have combined for 79 hits and 26 RBI.
San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup
Matt Waldron gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 1-5 with a 5.49 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. Waldron has allowed 10 hits and 9 earned runs in his last 8.1 innings. The Padres are 1-7 this season when Waldron pitches. This will be Waldron’s first career game against the Atlanta Braves.
Max Fried gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 3-1 with a 3.57 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Fried has allowed 4 hits and 4 runs in his last 14 innings. Fried has a 4.73 ERA and .245 allowed batting average in 13.1 home innings. Fried is 3-0 with a 1.67 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have lost each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line each of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Michael Harris has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Marcell Ozuna has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last seven games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL West opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last seven night games.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in 18 of the Braves’ last 19 games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Marcell Ozuna ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jake Cronenworth has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jake Cronenworth has scored at least one run in six of the Padres’ last seven games at Truist Park.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 11 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of the Padres’ last 11 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against the Braves.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded a Double in three of the Padres’ last four games against the Braves.
- Jurickson Profar ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.412) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (145).
- The Atlanta Braves rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (309).
- The San Diego Padres rank 4th in the league for hits this season (392).
- The San Diego Padres are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction
The San Diego Padres have talent to be a contender, but they continue to disappoint. There’s just no excuse to get swept by the Rockies at home. The Padres are just an unserious baseball team, regardless of the talent level. The Atlanta Braves are the complete opposite, and they’ll blow the doors off teams that aren’t ready to match their energy. Max Fried is an all star pitcher when he’s on, and he’s owned the Padres throughout his career. Fried is holding current Padres hitters to a .206 allowed batting average with 11 strikeouts in 63 at bats. Give me the Braves and the RL for max betting value.
