MLB Picks

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 7-3-24 Picks

San Francisco Giants (42-44) vs. Atlanta Braves (46-37)
July 3, 2024 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -200 / San Francisco Giants +170; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 3rd at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series. 

Braves Looking for More Offense 

The Atlanta Braves are 46-37 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Atlanta dropped game one in this series on Tuesday night and they allowed five runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three against the Pirates, lost a makeup game with the White Sox, and lost two out of three against the Cardinals. Atlanta is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are second in the NL East standings. 


The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 357 runs with a .242 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .296 with 21 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last six games. 

Giants Starting to Roll

The San Francisco Giants are 42-44 this year and they have won three of their last four games. San Francisco won game one in this series by a score of 5-3 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Giants won two out of three against the Dodgers, won three out of four against the Cubs, and lost all three against the Cardinals. San Francisco is 6-2 in their last eight games and they are third in the NL West. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.48 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 385 runs with a .248 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .238 with 11 home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Giants this season. San Francisco has scored at least five runs in six of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 10-3 with a 2.79 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 93.2 innings pitched this year. Sale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Jordan Hicks, who is 4-4 with a 3.36 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 85.2 innings pitched this season. Hicks has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Braves will beat the Giants

  • The Giants have lost eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have won five of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home night games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Braves’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Giants’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last nine night games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last five night games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four night games.
  • Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Chris Sale has recorded a win in seven of his last eight home appearances.
  • Austin Riley has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Chris Sale has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Single in each of the Braves’ last 11 home games against NL opponents.
  • Jarred Kelenic has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL opponents.
  • Brian Anderson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL West opponents.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Ahmed has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Braves.
  • Jorge Soler has hit a home run in three of his four previous appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jorge Soler has recorded an RBI in each of the Giants’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one Single in each of his seven previous road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Thairo Estrada has scored a run in eight of his last nine appearances with the Giants as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 

The Braves come into this matchup nine games above .500 and they are 26-15 at home this year, but they are nowhere near where we are used to seeing them offensively. Atlanta has really struggled to score consistently this season, but their pitching staff has been solid. The Braves are starting Chris Sale, who has been dominant so far this year. The Giants are just 17-25 on the road this year, but they have played very well over their last eight games. San Francisco is going to struggle against Sale in this game and I don’t love how Hicks has looked recently, so my Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants prediction is for the Braves to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Braves -1.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button