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Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 5-28-24 Picks

Boston Red Sox (27-26) vs. Baltimore Orioles (33-18)
May 28, 2024 6:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -155 / Boston Red Sox +142 ; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles meet Tuesday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Red Sox took on the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend. Boston took losses 7-2 and 6-3 in the first two games of that set. On Sunday in the finale the Red Sox eked out a 2-1 win. In their Monday opener versus the Orioles, Boston took a big loss 11-3. Starter Cooper Criswell gave up six earned in 4.0 innings on six hits and a walk.

As starter for the Tuesday matchup the Red Sox are going with Brayan Bello. This year Bello is 5-2 with a 4.04 ERA and 37 Ks in 42.1 innings over eight starts. Bello is 19-21 with a 4.31 ERA in 49 career games (47 starts).

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Over on the Orioles’ side, they played the Chicago White Sox in a four-game set over the weekend. Baltimore did well with wins 8-6, 6-4 and 5-3 in the first three games. On Sunday the O’s finished off with a 4-1 victory. In their Monday game Baltimore scored five runs in the fourth inning alone. Cole Irvin left after 5.0 clean innings as starter with four hits and three walks.

In the starting pitcher slot for Tuesday the Orioles will send out Grayson Rodriguez. So far in 2024 Rodriguez is 5-1 with a 3.20 ERA in eight starts. He’s got 51 Ks in 45.0 innings. Rodriguez is 12-5 with a 4.04 ERA in 31 starts.

Red Sox vs Orioles Injury Notes

Red Sox RF Tyler O’Neill (knee) is expected to return to the lineup Tuesday.

Orioles SP John Means (elbow) will be getting a second opinion on his injury this week.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four home games against AL opponents.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Orioles’ last four home games against AL East opponents.
  • Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last four home games.
  • Jorge Mateo has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine home appearances.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Double in four of the Orioles’ last five games as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in five of the Orioles’ last six games as favorites against the Red Sox.
  • Gunnar Henderson ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.580) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has hit a home run in five of the Red Sox’s last eight night games.
  • Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three road appearances against the Orioles.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (77).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 29th in the league for walks this season (141).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.22).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (141).

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’ll go with the Orioles. Rodriguez is pitching well right now. Over his last three starts combined Rodriguez is 2-0 with just two earned runs in 16.2 innings total on nine hits and 11 walks. As for Bello, he’s 2-1 in his last trio with 10 earned runs in 15.2 innings of work.

In the Monday opener, the Orioles had a great offensive effort overall highlighted by two big innings. Baltimore would finish with 13 team hits and really only had one bad frame on the mound (three runs in the eighth). I like the O’s to keep it going Tuesday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles -155

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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