Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 8-17-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 17th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 72-51 this year and they have won two of their last three games. Baltimore won game one in this series by a score of 5-1, but they allowed 12 runs in the game two loss. Prior to this series, the Orioles split two games with the Nationals, won two out of three against the Rays, and lost two out of three against the Blue Jays. Baltimore is 4-3 in their last seven games and they are second in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 625 runs with a .257 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .287 with 31 home runs and 74 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 64-57 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Boston lost the first game in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 12-10. Prior to that series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Rangers, lost all three against the Astros, and won two out of three against the Royals. Boston is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are third in the AL East. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 607 runs with a .262 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .298 with 26 home runs and 75 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cade Povich, who is 1-5 with a 6.27 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP over 37.1 innings pitched this year. Povich has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 10-5 with a 4.97 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 117.2 innings pitched this season. Bello has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three outings. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Red Sox

• The Orioles have won each of their last eight night games against the Red Sox at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last six night games against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a road win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Orioles following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Saturday night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Red Sox will beat the Orioles

• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Orioles’ last nine games.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Red Sox’s last nine road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Sixteen of the Orioles’ last 21 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ramon Urias has hit a home run in two of the Orioles’ last three games against the Red Sox.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Orioles’ last five home games.
• Cedric Mullins has scored a run in each of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Colton Cowser has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last six home games against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has hit at least one home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four road games against AL East opponents.
• Trevor Story has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Wilyer Abreu has scored a run in each of the Red Sox’s last four games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (189).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.453).
• The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (245).
• The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1106).

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 

These two teams played a very entertaining game on Friday night that included 22 runs being scored, but both will look for some better pitching in this matchup. Baltimore is 36-27 at home, while Boston is 35-25 on the road. The Red Sox continue to play in high scoring games, as their pitching staff has been awful since the All-Star break, but their offense has been very good. I don’t like either of these starting pitchers and even with Bello pitching slightly better in recent outings, I think we are going to see plenty of runs. My Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for this game to go over the total.