Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 9-21-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 21st at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 86-68 this year and they have won two games in a row. Baltimore won game one in this series by a score of 7-1 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Giants, lost two out of three against the Tigers, and lost two out of three against the Red Sox. Baltimore is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are second in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 742 runs with a .248 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .283 with 37 home runs and 87 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 80-74 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Detroit lost the first game in this series and only managed one run in the game. Prior to this series, the Tigers swept the Royals, won two out of three against the Orioles, and won two out of three against the Rockies. Detroit is 9-3 in their last 12 games and they are fourth in the AL Central. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 650 runs with a .234 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .260 with 24 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cade Povich, who is 2-9 with a 5.74 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this year. Povich has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 4-8 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 105.1 innings pitched this season. Olson has allowed three earned runs or more in two of his last three starts, but he was very good before going on the IL in July. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Orioles

• The Tigers have won each of their last four games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Saturday home games.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in each of their last four Saturday day games as favorites.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday day games as favorites.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday day games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers’ last seven road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Orioles’ last nine home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Santander has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games as favorites.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Orioles’ last 10 home games against AL Central opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last 10 home games against AL Central opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Austin Slater has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL Central opponents.
• James McCann has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against former teams.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Saturday day appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Anthony Santander ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (43) this season.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in each of the Tigers’ last two day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 road appearances.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 road appearances.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 17 road appearances.
• Javier Baez has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Orioles.
• Wenceel Perez has scored at least one run in each of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (224).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.435).
• The Detroit Tigers rank 1st in the league for triples this season (44).
• The Detroit Tigers rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (396).

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 

Detroit came into this series as one of the hottest teams in the MLB, but they were blown out in game one and lost some ground in the AL Wild Card race. The Tigers are 41-38 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 44-35 at home. Baltimore has played pretty poorly over the last few weeks and they are starting Cade Povich, who I have very little confidence in. Detroit is going with Reese Olson, who is trying to get back to form after an injury. I think we could see a high scoring game here, but I am sticking with the red hot Tigers to bounce back.