Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 7/10/26 MLB Picks Today

The Kansas City Royals and the Baltimore Orioles meet Friday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Kansas City Royals will send out Luinder Avila here and Avila is 4-3 with a 5.05 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. The Baltimore Orioles will send out Brandon Young here and Young is 7-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season.

Kansas City Royals Recap

The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to bounce back from a 7-2 loss at the hands of the Mets last time out to sit at 38-56 this season. After this series, the Royals will head home for a series against the San Diego Padres.

Royals Drop Back-To-Back Games

Jac Caglianone has 79 hits with 15 doubles, 14 home runs, 34 RBIs and a triple while Bobby Witt Jr. has 100 hits with 20 doubles, 13 home runs and 39 RBIs and Vinnie Pasquantino’s added 57 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 6 home runs and 32 RBIs on the year. Maikel Garcia also has 70 hits with 17 doubles, 3 home runs and 30 RBIs this season. Carter Jensen’s also chipped in 73 hits with 18 doubles, 13 home runs and 49 RBIs this season.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to add on to their 3-2 win over the Cubs last time out to sit at 43-51 this season. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a game against the Houston Astros.

Orioles Snap Three-Game Slide

Taylor Ward has 89 hits with 19 doubles and 24 RBIs while Gunnar Henderson has 84 hits with 16 doubles, 16 home runs and 40 RBIs and Pete Alonso has 87 hits with 16 doubles, 20 home runs and 62 RBIs. Adley Rutschman has 60 hits with 18 doubles, 8 home runs and 47 RBIs. Jeremiah Jackson has 51 hits with 9 doubles, 7 home runs and 34 RBIs as well on the year. Samuel Basallo has 65 hits with 9 doubles, 14 home runs and 42 RBIs.

Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: July 10, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Young      Record this season: 7-2      ERA: 3.38
• Home Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Royals: –

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Royals have lost 14 of their last 15 night games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The home team has won four of the Royals’ last five games.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 night games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Luinder Avila      Record this season: 4-3      ERA: 5.05
• Road Record: 3-0
• Last 5 against Orioles: –

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Royals have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Royals following a win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games after playing the previous day.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Royals and Orioles.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home night games.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Royals and Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Royals’ last six road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Luinder Avila’s eight previous appearances as a starter.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last seven games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Young has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Brandon Young has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
• Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight Friday games.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit at least one home run in each of the Orioles’ last three games as home favorites.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Carter Jensen has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last four games against AL East opponents.
• Luinder Avila has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (30) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (853).
• The Orioles rank 4th in the league for walks this season (362).
• The Royals rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (172).
• The Royals rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.89).

Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’m on the Orioles in this one. Brandon Young has been one of the most profitable pitchers in baseball this season and I think that continues here as well. Even if both starters have decent outings here, the Orioles have the sturdier bullpen and I look for that to hold true here. Give me Baltimore.