MLB Picks

Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees Prediction 4-29-24 Picks

NY Yankees (18-10) vs. Baltimore Orioles (17-9)
April 29, 2024 6:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -130 / NY Yankees +120; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles meet Monday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees prediction. This will be the first installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The Yankees took on the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend. New York lost 7-6 on Friday but bounced back for a win 15-3 in game two. In the Sunday rubber match, the Yankees scored a whopping seven runs in the sixth inning and had 18 team hits in an eventual 15-5 blowout win. Marcus Stroman put up 4.0 innings in the starting role with four earned, six hits and five walks.

In the starting pitcher slot for the Monday matchup, the Yankees will send out Clarke Schmidt. This year Schmidt is 2-0 with a 3.55 ERA over five starts. He has 29 Ks in 25.1 innings. In his career Schmidt is 16-15 with a 4.28 ERA in 72 games (42 starts).

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Over on the Orioles’ side, they played the Oakland Athletics in their last set. Baltimore also split the first pair 3-2 (loss) and 7-0 (win). On Sunday the Orioles gave away a 6-4 lead and eventually lost 7-6. Starter Albert Suarez finished with 4.0 innings, four earned, seven hits and a walk.

As starting pitcher for Monday’s opener, Baltimore will send out Grayson Rodriguez. In five starts total this year Rodriguez is 3-1 with a 4.45 ERA and 34 Ks in 28.1 innings. Over his career in the MLB Rodriguez is 10-5 with a 4.37 ERA in 28 starts.

Yankees vs Orioles Injury Notes

New York 3B Jon Berti was scheduled to begin a rehab assignment with Double-A Somerset on Sunday. Berti is on the 10-day Injured List with a groin issue.

Orioles SP Kyle Bradish (elbow) is set to return to the starting pitcher rotation soon. LF Austin Hayes was set to do some running over the weekend, testing out his injured left calf.

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

  • The Orioles have won each of their last 10 Monday games.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Monday games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last three home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in 11 of their last 16 games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games.

New York Yankees Team Facts

  • The Yankees have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs against the Orioles following a road win.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Orioles following a win.
  • The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction

I’ll try the Yankees in this one. Schmidt had a few bumpy spots in his last outing versus the A’s, posting 5.1 innings with three earned on four hits and two walks. Prior to that Schmidt had just two earned runs in 10.1 innings on 10 hits and five walks. As for Rodriguez, he needs a good bounce-back performance here. On April 23 versus the Angels, Rodriguez took the loss with seven earned on 11 hits and a walk in 4.1 frames.

On Sunday the Yankees got some great offensive performances across the board. Anthony Volpe (homer; two runs), Aaron Judge (homer; three hits) and Jose Trevino (two hits; run) each had three RBI. Anthony Rizzo went a perfect 4-for-4 with three runs and two RBI of his own. Stroman had some issues in the fifth inning but outside of that the pitching wasn’t too bad. I like the Yankees to keep it going on Monday.

Andrew's Free Pick: New York Yankees +120

Need More? Get Premium Picks


Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

Related Articles

Back to top button