MLB Picks

Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees Prediction 5-1-24 Picks

NY Yankees (19-11) vs. Baltimore Orioles (18-10)
May 1, 2024 6:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -149 / NY Yankees +126; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles meet Wednesday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees Prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The Yankees took on the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend, winning both weekend games for a series victory. Following a 2-0 loss to the Orioles on Monday in the opener, in game two New York posted five hits in a 4-2 loss. Starting pitcher Nestor Cortes put up 6.0 innings with four earned runs on eight hits and two walks.

In the starting role for game three, the Yankees will send out Luis Gil. This year in his five starts Gil is 1-1 with a 4.01 ERA and 35 Ks in 24.2 innings. Gil is 2-2 with a 3.88 ERA in 12 career starts at the MLB level.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Over on the Orioles’ side, they played the Oakland Athletics in their weekend set. Baltimore lost two of those three games. Following their shutout Monday win, on Tuesday the Orioles scored three runs in the fourth inning on the way to nine team hits. Adley Rutschman went 2-for-4 with an RBI. Dean Kremer had 7.0 innings with two earned on four hits and four walks.

It’ll be Corbin Burnes in the starting role for the Orioles on Wednesday. Across his six starts this year Burnes is 3-0 with a 2.55 ERA and 35 strikeouts over 35.1 innings. Burnes is 48-27 with a 3.23 ERA in 173 career games (112 starts).

Yankees vs Orioles Injury Notes

Yankees SP Tommy Kahnle (shoulder) threw 15 pitches against live hitters over the weekend. SP Gerrit Cole (elbow) threw on flat ground Saturday. The session reportedly went very well.

Orioles LF Austin Hays (calf) is showing improvement but hasn’t been able to participate in much physical activity. SP John Means (forearm) will rejoin the rotation later this week.

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

  • The Orioles have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Yankees following a home win.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against the Yankees following a home win.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight home games.

New York Yankees Team Facts

  • The Yankees have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Orioles following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Orioles following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees Prediction

I’ll take a stab on the Orioles. We should have a pretty good starter matchup regardless, though. Burnes is coming off one earned in 6.0 innings during a no-decision versus Oakland. He’s given up six earned over his last 16.2 innings total. As for Gil, he’ll need a good bounce-back effort here. Gil coughed up five earned in 5.0 innings on six hits and two walks versus the Brewers in his last start. He had just three earned in his previous 10.2 innings, though.

On Tuesday the Orioles got contributions from almost everyone in the lineup—only Ryan Mountcastle (0-for-4) went hitless. Following a great start from Kremer, the bullpen cleaned up on 2.0 innings, one hit, no earned, no walks and four Ks. I like Baltimore to keep it rolling on Wednesday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles -149

Need More? Get Premium Picks


Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

Related Articles

Back to top button