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Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees Prediction 7-13-24 Picks

NY Yankees (57-39) vs. Baltimore Orioles (57-37)
July 13, 2024 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -135 / NY Yankees +115; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 13th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Orioles Trying to Snap Skid 

The Baltimore Orioles are 57-37 this season and they have lost four games in a row. Baltimore lost the first game in this series on Friday and they only scored one run in the game. Prior to this series, the Orioles were swept by the Cubs in three games, won two out of three against the Athletics, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Baltimore is 2-6 in their last eight games and they are first in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 467 runs with a .253 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .288 with 27 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has scored two runs or fewer in four straight games. 

Yankees Look to Tie the Division 

The New York Yankees are 57-39 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. New York won the first game in this series by a score of 4-1 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Rays, lost two out of three against the Red Sox, and lost all three against the Reds. New York is 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are second in the AL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .225 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 477 runs with a .247 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .298 with 22 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York has allowed at least four runs in five of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Grayson Rodriguez, who is 11-3 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 94.2 innings pitched this year. Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Gil, who is 9-5 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 96.1 innings pitched this season. Gil has allowed four earned runs or more in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Yankees

  • The Yankees have lost each of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Orioles have won each of their last 12 games as favorites against the Yankees following a loss.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Yankees following a home loss.
  • The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Yankees’ last six day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Orioles’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six day games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in six of the Orioles’ last nine home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded a Double in five of the Orioles’ last six day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Orioles’ last eight day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Orioles as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Orioles as favorites against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Gleyber Torres has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Trent Grisham has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last three day games.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in 22 of his last 24 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
  • Anthony Rizzo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees Prediction 

Both of these teams have had some struggles recently, but they need to figure things out quickly because this is a huge series in the AL East. Baltimore is currently leading the division by a slim margin over the Yankees, but the Red Sox are charging fast. Baltimore is going with Rodriguez in this game, who has put together a very solid campaign. New York is starting Gil, who had a very good outing last time out, but struggled in the three starts prior to that. I really don’t know what to think about the Yankees, as they have not played well in about three weeks, so my Baltimore Orioles vs NY Yankees prediction is for the Orioles to win at home. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Orioles ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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