Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 6-14-24 Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Baltimore Orioles meet Friday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Phillies played the Boston Red Sox in their last series. Philadelphia split the first two games in that set, winning 4-1 on Tuesday before an 8-6 defeat in game two. In the Thursday rubber match the Phillies took a sizable loss 9-3. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola coughed up eight earned on 11 hits and two walks in 3.2 frames.

In the starter role for the Friday game the Phillies are going with Ranger Suarez. This year over 13 starts Suarez is 10-1 with a 1.81 ERA and 85 Ks in 79.2 innings. Suarez is 39-22 with a 3.17 ERA in 147 games (79 starts) over his career.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Over on the Orioles’ side, they took on the Atlanta Braves this week. Baltimore won the first two games of the series 4-0 and 4-2. On Thursday in the finale the Orioles missed the sweep with a 6-3 loss. Cole Irvin gave up three earned on nine hits and a walk in 5.2 frames as starter.

As starting pitcher for Friday’s game the Orioles will go with Kyle Bradish. This year Bradish is 2-0 with a 2.62 ERA and 49 Ks in 34.1 innings over seven starts. Bradish is 18-14 with a 3.56 ERA in 60 starts during his career.

Phillies vs Orioles Injury Notes

Phillies LF Brandon Marsh (hamstring) began a rehab assignment with Double-A Reading on Thursday.

Orioles SP Dean Kremer (triceps) threw a successful bullpen session Thursday and could begin a rehab assignment this weekend.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last four games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Orioles’ last six home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 night games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games as underdogs.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Austin Hays has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles as favorites.
• Kyle Bradish has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Jorge Mateo has scored a run in each of the Orioles’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Bradish has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last 12 games as favorites.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 12 games as favorites.
• Ramon Urias has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Gunnar Henderson ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (21) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• David Dahl has hit a home run in five of his six previous appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Double in five of the Phillies’ last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• David Dahl has recorded at least one RBI in five of his six previous appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in nine of his last 10 appearances in night games.
• Bryce Harper has recorded a Single in each of the Phillies’ last six night games.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• David Dahl has recorded two or more total bases in each of his six previous appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games.
• Ranger Suarez ranks 1st in the league for Wins (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (107).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.449).
• The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (51).
• The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.08).

Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’ll stick with the Orioles. Bradish had a bad start to kick off this month, giving up five earned on seven hits and three walks in 2.2 innings versus the Rays on June 1. In the other two of his last three starts however, Bradish is 2-0 with zero earned on one hit and four walks over 13.0 combined innings. He should be good to go for a quality start Friday if all goes well.

On Thursday the O’s fell into a 4-0 hole by the seventh inning and couldn’t climb back out on six team hits (and two errors). Kyle Stowers (homer; three RBI) and Jordan Westburg (two hits; run) were just about the only offensive bright spots. Baltimore needs a good bounce-back at the plate here but I think they’ll be okay.