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Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5-17-24 Picks

Seattle Mariners (24-20) vs. Baltimore Orioles (27-14)
May 17, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles / Seattle Mariners ; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 17th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in this series. 

Orioles Fighting in the AL East

The Baltimore Orioles are 27-14 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Baltimore is coming off of a series split with the Blue Jays, where they won one game and lost one game. Prior to that series, the Orioles won two out of three against Arizona, split a two game series with Washington, and swept the Reds in three games. Baltimore has won eight of their last eleven games and they are second in the AL East, just one game behind New York for first. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.26 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, and a .217 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 203 runs with a .245 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .259 with 12 home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore is 10th in the MLB in runs scored and fifth in team ERA, and they have allowed three runs or fewer in nine of their last 13 games. 

Mariners Leading the AL West 

The Seattle Mariners are 24-20 this year and they have won four of their last six games. Seattle is coming off of a series win against Kansas City, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Mariners won two out of three against Oakland, lost three out of four games against Minnesota, and won two out of three against Houston. Seattle is just 7-7 in their last 14 games, but they have a small lead in the AL West. 

The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.33 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, and a .210 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 168 runs with a .227 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .218 with 10 home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle is seventh in team ERA this season, but they have allowed at least four runs in six of their last nine games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cole Irvin, who is 4-1 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 40.1 innings pitched this year. Irvin has allowed two earned runs in his last four starts (25.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryce Miller, who is 3-3 with a 2.66 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 47.1 innings pitched this season. Miller has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow four earned runs and six hits in his last road start against Houston. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have lost five of their last six night games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

 

  • Cole Irvin has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Orioles’ last seven home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Anthony Santander has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last three home games against the Mariners.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Cole Irvin has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
  • Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in five of the Orioles’ last six games against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

 

  • Bryce Miller has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Mitch Haniger has scored a run in each of his last six appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Bryce Miller has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against the Orioles after not playing the previous day.
  • Josh Rojas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Josh Rojas has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances in night games.
  • Mitch Garver has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Orioles.

Matchup/League Facts

 

  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (64).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.442).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (46).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (453).

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this series towards the top of their division standings, but Baltimore has been the much more impressive team to start the season. The Orioles are 15-9 at home, while Seattle is just 9-10 on the road. The Mariners have had pretty solid pitching this season, but their offense is one of the lowest scoring in the MLB. I don’t trust this Seattle offense at all and Irvin has been outstanding in his last four starts. My Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners prediction is for the Orioles to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Orioles -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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