Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5-19-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 19th at Camden Yards is Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Orioles Stinging after Blown Lead

The Baltimore Orioles are 28-15 this season and they have won two of their last three games. Baltimore won game one in this series by a score of 9-2, but blew a lead in game two for the loss. Prior to this series, the Orioles split a two game series with Toronto, won two out of three against Arizona, and split a two game series with Washington. Baltimore has won 11 of their last 16 games and they are second in the AL East, two games behind New York. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 215 runs with a .245 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .265 with 14 home runs and 30 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore is sixth in team ERA and they are eighth in runs scored this season, as they have allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last four games. 

Mariners Looking for Two in a Row 

The Seattle Mariners are 25-21 this year and they have won four of their last six games. Seattle lost game one in blowout fashion, but did win game two by a score of 4-3. Prior to this series, the Mariners won two out of three against Kansas City, won two out of three against Oakland, and lost three out of four against Minnesota. Seattle is just 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they are still leading the AL West over the Rangers. 

The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA, a 1.07 WHIP, and a .212 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 174 runs with a .227 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Ty France is batting .237 with four home runs and 15 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle is 26th in the MLB in runs scored this year, but they have scored at least four runs in five of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 3-2 with a 2.68 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 53.2 innings pitched this year. Burnes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow three earned runs to the Nationals two starts ago. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 4-3 with a 3.58 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 50.1 innings pitched this season. Kirby has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow four earned runs against the Twins two starts ago. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

The Orioles have won each of their last six day games against American League opponents following a loss.
The Mariners have lost five of their last six games against American League opponents following a win.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a win.
The Orioles have covered the run line in nine of their last 12 games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Four of the Mariners’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the last eight games between the Mariners and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven day games between the Mariners and Orioles.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last four day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 

Seattle comes into this game just 10-11 on the road this year, but they did get a nice comeback victory on Saturday night. The Mariners have been pretty bad offensively when looking at the season numbers, but they have started to improve slightly over the last week. Baltimore is 16-10 at home and they have been one of the top teams in baseball this year. The Orioles are turning to Corbin Burnes for this game, while Seattle is going with George Kirby. Both of these starting pitchers have been very good recently, but I can’t trust the Seattle offense. My Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners prediction is for the Orioles to win.