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Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 7-31-24 MLB Picks

Toronto Blue Jays (50-57) vs. Baltimore Orioles (63-44)
July 31, 2024 12:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -238 / Toronto Blue Jays +196; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles meet Wednesday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

Over the weekend, the Blue Jays played the Texas Rangers. Toronto did well in that series, taking wins in all three games for a sweep. After an 8-4 win over the O’s on Monday, in game two Toronto took a 6-2 loss. Starter Chris Bassitt gave up five earned in 4.0 innings.


In the starter role for the Jays on Wednesday it’ll be Paolo Espino. In two games (zero starts) so far Espino has a 7.71 ERA with no decisions. He’s got two strikeouts in 4.2 total frames.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Over on the Orioles’ side, they played the San Diego Padres in their last set. Baltimore lost the first pair of games before an 8-6 victory Sunday to halt the sweep. On Tuesday the Orioles would get 6.2 innings and two earned runs out of starter Corbin Burnes.

Grayson Rodriguez will take the start for the O’s on Wednesday. This year Rodriguez is 12-4 with a 3.82 ERA in 19 starts. Over 42 career starts Rodriguez is 19-8 with a 4.10 ERA.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Pick Injury Notes

Blue Jays SP Alek Manoah (elbow) had his post-surgery brace removed this week.

Orioles catcher James McCann will start Thursday.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Orioles’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Blue Jays and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Cedric Mullins has recorded a Double in each of the Orioles’ last three day games.
  • James McCann has recorded a Single in each of his last nine home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Anthony Santander has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last six day games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine road games against AL East opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded two or more RBIs in eight of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kevin Kiermaier has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 road appearances against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’ll probably stick with the O’s here, but realistically the line is way too thick to mess with. Rodriguez coughed up six earned runs in 5.0 innings during a loss to the Yankees back on July 13, but since then he’s been doing well. Rodriguez has four earned over his last 11.0 innings, going 1-0 in a pair of starts.

On Tuesday the O’s had a pretty good all-around game. The bullpen came through with 2.1 clean frames, one hit and no walks. Offensively Baltimore had 11 hits and really broke things open in the third. I like the Orioles to keep it rolling in the finale but I’m staying away. 

Andrew's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles -238

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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