Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction 4/17/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, April 17^th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 11-8 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL West. They have a 5-2 home record and are coming off an 8-5 road win against the Orioles. Their previous three games were a 4-3 road win and a 7-9 road loss to the Orioles, and a 4-3 road win against the Phillies.

The Diamondbacks have a .238 batting average this season, .291 OBP and .396 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Corbin Carroll is the team’s best hitter with a .311 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 11. Ketel Marte adds a team‑high 4 home runs.

Michael Soroka (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 3-0 record, 2.87 ERA and 1.21 WHIP.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 7-11 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the AL East. They have a 1-5 away record and are coming off a 1-2 road loss against the Brewers. Their previous three games were a 1-2 road loss and a 9-7 road win to the Brewers, and a 2-8 road loss to the Twins.

The Blue Jays have a .241 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .370 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.48 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the team’s best hitter with a .323 batting average. Andres Gimenez leads the team in RBI with 11, also adding a team‑high 3 home runs.

Eric Lauer (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 1-2 record, 7.82 ERA and 1.58 WHIP.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: April 17, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Soroka      Record this season: 3-0      ERA: 2.87
• Home Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 1-2

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Blue Jays have lost nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents following an extra innings win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Eric Lauer      Record this season: 1-2      ERA: 7.82
• Road Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 2-2

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Blue Jays’ last five games.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Diamondbacks have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games against AL East opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Soroka has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
• Michael Soroka has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances in night games.
• Michael Soroka ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (3) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four road games against NL West opponents.
• Eric Lauer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against the Diamondbacks.
• Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.436) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (42).
• The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (6).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (125).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (194).

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Blue Jays are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Diamondbacks but are 1-2 in their last three visits in Arizona.

In this Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -140 home favorites. Both teams have been in opposite trajectories lately, as the Dbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 games, while the Jays are 3-7 in their last 10. The Dbacks have the pitching advantage, as Soroka, who as given up just one run in two home starts, goes up against a struggling Eric Lauer, who gave up 7 runs in his previous start. The Dbacks also have a better offense and are hitting better lefties, with a .281 batting average and 5.2 runs/9, so I expect them to get the job done at home today. Take the Dbacks on the moneyline.