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Blue Jays vs Marlins Prediction 5/26/26 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (26-29) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (25-29)
May 26, 2026 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -143 / Miami Marlins 119; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 26th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 25-29 this year after they lost game one by a score of 8-2 on Monday night. Toronto cut the deficit to 2-1 in the fifth inning, but they allowed six of the last seven runs in the loss. The Blue Jays recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Clement, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Yesavage allowed five hits and five earned runs over 6.2 innings for the loss, while Rogers allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Pirates and split four games with the Yankees. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 216 runs with a .242 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 10 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added five home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Braydon Fisher, who is 2-1 with a 2.73 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 29.2 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 26-29 this season after they won game one by a score of 8-2 last night. Miami took the lead in the first inning and they pulled away in the sixth and eighth innings for the easy win. The Marlins recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Stowers, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Junk allowed eight hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Nardi picked up a hold. Prior to this series, Miami swept the Mets in three games, but lost three out of four against the Braves before that. 

This season, Miami has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 239 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 11 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 22 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 3-3 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 69.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games following a road win.
  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last seven Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against the Blue Jays.
  • The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Marlins following a loss.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have won the first inning in each of their last five games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Rogers Centre.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last nine games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Blue Jays’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven night games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games against National League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Marlins.
  • Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Ernie Clement ranks T5th in the league in Hits (61) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Otto Lopez has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last eight games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (70) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (2).
  • The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (387).
  • The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (62).
  • The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (11).

Blue Jays vs Marlins Prediction 

Miami played a great game on Monday against a very good pitcher and they have won four games in a row. The Marlins are 8-14 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 15-13 at home. Toronto has dropped two in a row and they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last five games. The Blue Jays are starting Fisher, who will operate as an opener, while Alcantara has allowed 6+ earned runs in two of his last four outings. Take the Blue Jays to bounce back at home. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Blue Jays ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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