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Blue Jays vs Marlins Prediction 5/27/26 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (26-30) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (26-29)
May 27, 2026 1:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -163 / Miami Marlins 135; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 27th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 26-29 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-8 and 8-1. In game two, Toronto had their lead cut to 2-1 in the fifth inning, but they added six runs in the sixth to pull away with the win. The Blue Jays recorded 12 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Sanchez, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs. Miles allowed three hits and one earned run over 4.1 innings for the win, while Andrews threw the last two innings in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Pirates and split four games with the Yankees. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.83 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 224 runs with a .244 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 10 home runs and 28 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added five home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 4-3 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 64.0 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 26-30 this year after they lost game two by a score of 8-1 last night. Miami only trailed 2-1 in the fifth inning, but they couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Marlins recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Hernandez, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Alcantara allowed 10 hits and eight earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Gibson finished the last 2.1 innings. Prior to this series, Miami swept the Mets in three games, but lost three out of four against the Braves before that. 

This season, Miami has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they have scored 240 runs with a .243 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 11 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 22 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 3-6 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 58.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The home team has won four of the Marlins’ last five games.
  • The Marlins have lost four of their last five day games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 11 of their last 13 games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against American League opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Marlins have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Blue Jays.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 day games against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have won the first inning in five of their last six games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Rogers Centre.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last 10 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight Wednesday games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Kevin Gausman’s last four appearances as a starter.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Ernie Clement has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Otto Lopez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his 16 previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Blue Jays vs Marlins Prediction 

Miami had their winning streak snapped on Tuesday in a blowout loss, but they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Marlins are 8-15 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 16-13 at home. Toronto has won three of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in all three of those wins. The Blue Jays are starting Gausman, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Perez has allowed 1, 5, 3, and 5 earned runs in his last four outings. Take Toronto to get another win in this one. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Blue Jays ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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