Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction 7/29/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, July 29^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 55-53 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 23-33 home record and are coming off an 8-6 home win against the Blue Jays. They will face the Braves and the Phillies next.

The Washington Nationals have a .254 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .446 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.75 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average, adding a team-high 82 RBI. James Wood adds a team-high 30 home runs.

Zack Littell (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Washington Nationals, and he has a 7-8 record, 5.17 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 49-59 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 23-29 away record and are coming off a 6-8 road loss against the Nationals. They will face the Cardinals and the Astros next.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a .242 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .379 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .296 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 66, adding a team-high 24 home runs.

Trey Yesavage (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he has a 4-5 record, 3.92 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: July 29, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Littell      Record this season: 7-8      ERA: 5.17
• Home Record: 4-5
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 2-0

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Blue Jays have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won nine of the Blue Jays’ last 13 games at Nationals Park.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in five of their last six games.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against AL East opponents.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Trey Yesavage      Record this season: 4-5      ERA: 3.92
• Road Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Nationals: –

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last five games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last four games against the Blue Jays following a win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against National League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against the Nationals.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against the Nationals.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the last eight games between the Blue Jays and Nationals at Nationals Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays’ last five games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine day games against National League opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• James Wood has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last four games as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Zack Littell has recorded a win in each of his three previous appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• Zack Littell has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last 15 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (38) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Trey Yesavage has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in day games.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games.
• Ernie Clement ranks 5th in the league in Hits (120) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (594).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (594).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (425).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (425).

Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction

The Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Nationals but have lost two of their last three visits in Washington.

In this Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -120 road favorites. Both pitchers have been in bad shape lately, as Zack Littell has given up at least 4 runs in three of his last four starts and has a 5.37 home ERA, while Trey Yesavage has given up 10 runs across his last three starts. The Nationals have the best offense in baseball and the 26^th bullpen ERA and both teams have been excellent against righties lately, scoring 10.9 runs per game combined in their last five games. Take the over 9 runs in this one.