Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 9/12/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 12th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 84-62 this year after they won two out of three against Houston by scores of 4-3, 2-3, and 6-0. In their game three win, Toronto jumped out to a lead in the first inning and never looked back in the shutout victory. The Blue Jays recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Schneider and Barger, who both had two RBIs in the win. Toronto started Gausman, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs in the complete game shutout. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the Reds before that. Toronto has lost three of their last five games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 727 runs with a .268 batting average and a .337 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 23 home runs and 79 RBIs, while George Springer has added 28 home runs and 73 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 11-8 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 161.0 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 69-77 this season after they won all three games against Pittsburgh by scores of 3-2, 2-1, and 3-2. In their game three win, Baltimore blew an early 2-1 lead, but they scored a run in the seventh to break the tie for the victory. The Orioles recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Mayo, Rivera, and Beavers, who all had one RBI in the win. Baltimore started Povich, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Wolfram picked up the win and Akin got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Dodgers and all three against the Padres. Baltimore has won eight of their last nine games and they are last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 628 runs with a .240 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 17 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 8-2 with a 1.51 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP over 95.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won six of their last seven home games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Orioles will beat the Blue Jays

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have won six of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight Friday games at Rogers Centre.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Orioles and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Daulton Varsho has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in four of his five previous home appearances against the Orioles.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Rogers has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in night games.
• Dylan Carlson has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in five of his last six road appearances.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 

Toronto may have the best record in the AL East right now, but Baltimore is playing the best baseball out of anyone in the division over the last two weeks. The Orioles are 33-39 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 47-25 at home. Baltimore is starting Rogers, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Toronto is going with Bassitt, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. We have two very hot pitchers facing each other and I like the under here.