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Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 9/12/26 MLB Picks Today

Baltimore Orioles (72-76) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (73-75)
September 12, 2026 3:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -115 / Baltimore Orioles -105; Over/Under: 8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 12th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 73-75 this season after they lost game one by a score of 4-7 last night. Toronto cut the deficit to 7-4 in the ninth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Blue Jays recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Bateman, who went 3-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Scherzer allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Fisher allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto lost two out of three against the Athletics, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 593 runs with a .248 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 31 home runs and 84 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added nine home runs and 55 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Spencer Miles, who is 6-2 with a 2.77 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 87.2 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 72-76 this year after they won game one by a score of 7-4 on Friday night. Baltimore scored six runs in the first two innings and they added one more in the seventh in the win. The Orioles recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Beavers, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Bassitt allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Garcia picked up the save. Prior to this series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Guardians, but lost all four against the Red Sox before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.15 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while they have scored 668 runs with a .235 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 34 home runs and 97 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 22 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 7-13 with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 152.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven day games following a loss.
  • The Orioles have lost each of their last six Saturday day road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a home loss.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday day games.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won five of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven road games against AL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last seven games between the Orioles and Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last five day games between the Orioles and Blue Jays.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last seven Saturday games against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 12 day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Coby Mayo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
  • Kyle Bradish has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Coby Mayo has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against the Blue Jays.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this matchup after winning game one on Friday and they have won three of their last five games. The Orioles are 36-37 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 37-36 at home. Toronto has dropped four of their last five games and they have allowed 6+ in three of those five. The Jays are starting Miles, who will be an opener, while Bradish has allowed 0, 2, 7, 3, and 2 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the Orioles to win again here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Orioles ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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