Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 9/13/25 MLB Picks Today

The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays meet Saturday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Blue Jays vs Orioles Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 69-78 on the year and play the White Sox, Yankees, and Rays next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .239 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and a .399 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 140 hits and 61 RBI, while Jackson Holliday and Jordan Westburg have combined for 214 hits and 89 RBI.

Tomoyuki Sugano gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 10-8 with a 4.51 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. Sugano is 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA and 1 strikeout in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 85-62 on the year and play the Rays, Royals, and Red Sox next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .269 on the season, have a .338 OBP, and a .431 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 181 hits and 94 RBI while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement have combined for 298 hits and 123 RBI.

Max Scherzer gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 5-3 with a 4.36 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. Scherzer is 7-4 with a 3.53 ERA and 130 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: September 13, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer      Record this season: 5-3      ERA: 4.36
• Home Record: 3-0
• Last 5 against Orioles: 1-2

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Orioles have lost eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last 10 Saturday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine Saturday day games against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano      Record this season: 10-8      ERA: 4.51
• Road Record: 3-4
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Blue Jays have lost 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have won each of their last seven day games following a road loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 11 day games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last nine day games between the Orioles and Blue Jays.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six road games against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Max Scherzer has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against the Orioles.
• Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in five of the Blue Jays’ last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Max Scherzer has recorded a win in six of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
• Dylan Carlson has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are winning all of a sudden, but I don’t trust them in spots like this. Sugano has hit the rookie wall, allowing 23 hits and 14 earned runs in his last 12.1 innings. In 66.1 road innings, Sugano has a 4.75 ERA and .287 allowed batting average. The Blue Jays continue to win and are closing in on an AL East crown. Scherzer is a shell of himself at 41 years old, but he’s also a Hall of Fame pitcher who has one up big in big moments time and time again. The Blue Jays have won 5 of Scherzer’s last 7 starts. I’ll ride with the Blue Jays.