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Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction 6/10/26 MLB Picks Today

Philadelphia Phillies (36-31) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (33-35)
June 10, 2026 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays 119 / Philadelphia Phillies -143; Over/Under: 8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 10th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 33-35 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-5 and 3-2. In game two, Toronto trailed 2-1 in the ninth inning, but they scored twice in the bottom of the ninth for the win. The Blue Jays recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Sanchez, who went 3-4 with one home run and one RBI. Cease allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Varland picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Orioles, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 277 runs with a .249 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 13 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added six home runs and 30 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Max Scherzer, who is 1-3 with a 9.64 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP over 18.2 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 36-31 this season after they lost game two by a score of 3-2 on Tuesday night. Philadelphia led 1-0 in the first inning and they took the lead in the ninth, but they blew the save and lost the game. The Phillies recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Stott, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Wheeler allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Duran blew the save and got the loss. Prior to this series, Philadelphia won two out of three against the White Sox and all three against the Padres. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 269 runs with a .227 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 23 home runs and 40 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 14 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 4-4 with a 4.56 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 73.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Phillies have lost each of their last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have won 10 of their last 12 games as home underdogs following a home win.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 11 of their last 13 games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won each of their last six games following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four night games against the Phillies following a win.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five road games following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Phillies’ last seven road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Max Scherzer’s last four appearances as a starter against the Phillies.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six night games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Wednesday night appearances.
  • Ernie Clement has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last five home games against NL opponents.
  • Max Scherzer has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 34 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Max Scherzer has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in five of the Phillies’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
  • Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight games as road favorites against AL opponents.

Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction 

Toronto was able to get the dramatic win in game two on Tuesday and they have won three of their last four games. The Blue Jays are 20-15 at home this year, while the Phillies are 17-14 on the road. Philadelphia has won three of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in all three of those wins. The Phillies are starting Luzardo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Scherzer is coming off of a lengthy IL stay after a brutal start to the season. I have no idea what to expect from Scherzer in this start, so I will back the Phillies here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Phillies ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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