Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction 6/5/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 5th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 32-29 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 3-8 and 2-1. In their game two win, Toronto trailed 1-0 in the second inning, but they scored the final two runs in the game for the comeback win. The Blue Jays recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Bichette and Kirk, who both had one RBI in the win. Toronto started Berrios, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Hoffman picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays swept the Athletics in four games and won two out of three against the Rangers. Toronto has won six of its last seven games, and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 253 runs with a .251 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero has led Toronto with eight home runs and 28 RBIs, while George Springer has added eight home runs and 24 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 5-3 with a 3.80 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 66.1 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 37-24 this season after they lost game two in this series by a score of 2-1. Philadelphia jumped out to a 1-0 lead in the second inning, but they went scoreless over the final seven innings in the loss. The Phillies recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Castellanos, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Philadelphia started Abel, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings, while Romano picked up the loss out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies lost all three games against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Braves before that. Philadelphia has lost five of its last six games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 290 runs with a .256 batting average and a .332 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 19 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added nine home runs and 34 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 5-1 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 70.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Blue Jays

• The Phillies have won each of their last nine games as road favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven Thursday games against NL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Davis Schneider has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Davis Schneider has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in nine of the Blue Jays’ last 10 home games.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Daulton Varsho has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances in day games.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as road favorites.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as road favorites.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
• Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last four day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against AL East opponents.

Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup after winning one of the first two games in the series, but they are trending in different directions. Toronto has won six of its last seven games, while Philadelphia has dropped five of its last six. The Phillies are 18-12 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 21-13 at home. Philadelphia is starting Luzardo, who has been very good for most of the season, but did allow 12 earned runs in his last start. Toronto is going with Bassitt, who has allowed five earned runs in each of his last two outings. We have seen some recent struggles from both starters, but Luzardo is the better pitcher, and I like the Phillies to get the win.