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Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction 8/15/25 MLB Picks Today

Texas Rangers (61-61) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (71-51)
August 15, 2025 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -101 / Texas Rangers -121; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 15th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 71-51 this season after they won two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 5-1, 1-4, and 2-1. In their game three win, Toronto trailed 1-0 in the seventh inning, but scored two in the bottom of the seventh for the victory. The Blue Jays recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Guerrero Jr., who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Toronto started Scherzer, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Hoffman picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Dodgers, but did sweep the Rockies before that. Toronto has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 591 runs with a .268 batting average and a .337 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 20 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Addison Barger has added 18 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 11-6 with a 4.17 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 133.2 innings pitched this season. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 61-61 this year after they lost two out of three against Arizona by scores of 7-6, 2-3, and 4-6. In their game three loss, Texas led 4-2 in the ninth inning, but they allowed four runs in the last inning for the tough loss. The Rangers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Burger, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Texas started Kelly, who allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Maton blew the save and was charged with the loss. 

Prior to that series, Texas lost all three against the Phillies, but did win two out of three against the Yankees before that. Texas has lost six of their last seven games and they are currently third in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 495 runs with a .232 batting average and a .299 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with 16 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Corey Seager has added 17 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Jacob deGrom, who is 10-5 with a 2.86 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 135.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Rangers

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last 11 games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 15 games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 12 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have lost the first inning in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record at Rogers Centre.

Why the Rangers will beat the Blue Jays

  • The Rangers have won each of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games at Rogers Centre following a win.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line each of their last six games at Rogers Centre against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last eight games between the Rangers and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Rangers’ last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight night games against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Chris Bassitt has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 home appearances.
  • Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 12 games against AL West opponents.
  • Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Adolis Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Rangers’ last two games as road favorites.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances at Rogers Centre.
  • Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL East opponents.
  • Adolis Garcia has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Rangers as favorites.

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Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction 

Toronto is coming off of a great series win over a very good Cubs team and they will look to continue their dominance over the last few months here. The Blue Jays are 40-20 at home this season, while the Rangers are 24-35 on the road. Texas is trying to stay in the wild card race and they will start deGrom, who has allowed 3, 5, and 5 earned runs in his last three outings. The Jays are going with Bassitt, who has allowed 3, 1, 6, and 3 earned runs in his last four. I think we can see a little scoring in this game with both pitchers having some recent struggles, so take the over here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 7.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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