Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction 8/17/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 17th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 73-51 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-5 and 14-2. In their game two win, Toronto had their lead cut to 6-1 in the third inning, but they scored the next eight runs for the easy victory. The Blue Jays recorded 18 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Straw, who went 4-5 with two home runs and five RBIs in the win. Toronto started Lauer, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Heineman allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Cubs, but did lose two out of three against the Dodgers before that. Toronto has won five of their last six games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 611 runs with a .270 batting average and a .339 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 20 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Addison Barger has added 18 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 9-4 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 142.0 innings pitched this year. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 61-63 this season after they lost game two in this series by a score of 14-2 on Saturday. Texas scored just once in the first eight innings, but they did add one in the ninth in the loss. The Rangers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Burger, who went 3-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Texas started Corbin, who allowed eight hits and seven earned runs over 2.1 innings for the loss, while Gray allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Rangers lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and all three against the Phillies. Texas has lost eight of their last nine games and they are currently third in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 502 runs with a .231 batting average and a .300 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with 16 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Corey Seager has added 17 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Nathan Eovaldi, who is 10-3 with a 1.71 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 116.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Rangers

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last 12 games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last eight games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 16 games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Rangers have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games at Rogers Centre.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against the Rangers.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Rangers.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last 10 games between the Rangers and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rangers’ last six games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games as home underdogs.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Daulton Varsho has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 14 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Berrios has recorded a win in each of his last six home appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his 19 previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Rangers as favorites.
• Adolis Garcia has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Rangers as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Nathan Eovaldi has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL East opponents.
• Nathan Eovaldi has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.

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Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction

These two teams come into this matchup heading in opposite directions, as Toronto is looking for the series sweep. The Blue Jays are 42-20 at home this year, while the Rangers are 24-37 on the road. Texas has lost four games in a row and they are starting Eovaldi, who has been elite this season, but did allow five earned runs last time out. The Jays are going with Berrios, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. This Toronto team is playing extremely well and I will take them at home with a decent price.