Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction 9/26/25 MLB Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays meet Friday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction. This article will include a Blue Jays vs Rays Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 77-82 on the year after playing the Orioles. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .252 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and a .403 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 174 hits and 83 RBI while Junior Caminero and Brandon Lowe have combined for 283 hits and 192 RBI.

Adrian Houser gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 8-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. Houser is 1-2 with a 5.32 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 91-68 on the year after playing the Red Sox. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .265 on the season, have a .333 OBP, and a .425 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 181 hits and 94 RBI while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer have combined for 318 hits and 165 RBI.

Shane Bieber gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 3-2 with a 3.57 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. Bieber is 2-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 48 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: September 26, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Bieber      Record this season: 3-2      ERA: 3.57
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Rays: 2-1

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Rays have lost each of their last six road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have won eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Adrian Houser      Record this season: 8-4      ERA: 3.18
• Road Record: 1-4
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 1-2

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the Rays’ last nine games.
• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Rays following a win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against the Rays following a win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Rogers Centre.
• The Rays have won the first inning in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rays’ last five games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Rays’ last 10 games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as favorites.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit a home run in two of the Blue Jays’ last three games as home favorites.
• Shane Bieber has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Shane Bieber has recorded a win in six of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL opponents.
• George Springer ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last two games as underdogs.
• Adrian Houser has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
• Taylor Walls has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Taylor Walls has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.
• Adrian Houser has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (43) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1432).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.265).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for steals this season (190).
• The Rays are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction

The Rays haven’t had anything to play for in a while, and they’ve looked like it all month. Houser has been decent this season, but he’s been hittable lately, allowing 20 hits and 12 runs in his last 24.1 innings. The Blue Jays are fighting for the AL East crown and simply can’t afford to blow games like this. Bieber has been respectable in limited frames, and he has a 3.18 ERA in 17 home innings. The Blue Jays simply can’t afford to blow games like this, especially at home. Because of the ovation factor, I’m going to roll with the Blue Jays.