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Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction 9/27/25 MLB Picks Today

Tampa Bay Rays (77-83) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (92-68)
September 27, 2025 3:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -164 / Tampa Bay Rays 134; Over/Under: 8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 27th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 92-68 this year after they won game one by a score of 4-2 on Friday night. Toronto trailed 2-1 in the second inning, but scored the last three runs for the victory. The Blue Jays recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Lukes, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Toronto started Bieber, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Hoffman picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Royals. Toronto has won three of their last five games and they are first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 780 runs with a .264 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 23 home runs and 83 RBIs, while George Springer has added 31 home runs and 82 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Trey Yesavage, who is 0-0 with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 9.0 innings pitched this year. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 77-83 this season after they lost game one on Friday night to start the series. The Rays led 2-1 in the second inning, but they failed to score in the last seven innings for the loss. Tampa Bay recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Aranda and Caminero, who both had one RBI in the loss. TB started Houser, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Sulser closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Red Sox. Tampa Bay has lost five of their last seven games and they are fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 709 runs with a .251 batting average and a .313 on base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 45 home runs and 110 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 31 home runs and 83 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Joe Boyle, who is 1-3 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 47.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Rays

  • The Rays have lost each of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last five home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in five of their last six games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Rays have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last six games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rays’ last four games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Rays’ last 11 games as underdogs.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven games between the Rays and Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • George Springer has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Rays as road underdogs against the Blue Jays.
  • Taylor Walls has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction 

Toronto was able to keep pace with the Yankees in the AL East with their win on Friday night, but they have no room for error if they want to win the division. The Blue Jays are 52-27 at home this season, while the Rays are 36-43 on the road. Tampa Bay is starting Boyle, who has been inconsistent, but has allowed just one earned run in his last 10.1 innings. Toronto is going with Yesavage, who has allowed five earned runs and eight hits in 9.0 innings over two starts. I am not a big Joe Boyle fan, which burned me in his last start, so I am backing Toronto to get the win here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Blue Jays ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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