Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction 6/17/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, June 17^th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Boston Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox have a 29-41 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 12-23 home record and are coming off a 1-6 home defeat against the Blue Jays. They will face the Mariners and the Rockies next.

The Red Sox have a .246 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .384 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Willson Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .299 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 43 and adding a team-high 16 home runs.

Jake Bennett (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 1-2 record, 5.28 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 35-38 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 14-20 road record and are coming off a 6-1 road win against the Red Sox. They will face the Cubs and the Astros next.

The Blue Jays have a .249 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .390 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .299 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 42, adding a team-high 15 home runs.

Max Scherzer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 1-4 record, 10.23 ERA and 1.73 WHIP.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox Betting Trends: June 17, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jake Bennett      Record this season: 1-2      ERA: 5.28
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: –

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six games following a win.
• The favorites have won eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games.
• The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games following a win.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 games as underdogs.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in each of their last five Wednesday games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer      Record this season: 1-4      ERA: 10.23
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Red Sox: 2-3

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Red Sox’s last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Red Sox’s last 10 games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight road games against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Willson Contreras has hit at least one home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as home favorites.
• Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
• Willson Contreras ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.556) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Davis Schneider has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games.
• Max Scherzer has recorded a win in eight of his last 10 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Max Scherzer has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 17 appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ernie Clement ranks 5th in the league in Hits (84) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (279).
• The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (59).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (4).
• The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (533).

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction

The Blue Jays are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Red Sox and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Boston.

In this Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -140 home favorites. I don’t like the pitching in this matchup, as both pitchers have a combined 15.51 ERA, with Max Scherzer coming back from the IL and giving up 5 runs in 3.1 innings, while Bennett has given up 4 runs in each of his last two starts for the Red Sox. Both teams are 10-5 to the over in their last 15 games combined, so I will go over the 9.5 in this one.