Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction 4/29/25 MLB Picks Today

The Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays meet Tuesday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Blue Jays vs Red Sox Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 16-14 on the year and play the Twins, Rangers, and Royals next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .249 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and a .411 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Alex Bregman leads the Boston Red Sox with 37 hits and 22 RBI, while Jarren Duran and Trevor Story have combined for 66 hits and 30 RBI.

Garrett Crochet gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 2-2 with a 1.95 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Crochet is 2-1 with a 0.66 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 13-15 on the year and play the Guardians, Angels, and Mariners next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .240 on the season, have a .312 OBP, and a .344 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 35 hits and 13 RBI, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer have combined for 54 hits and 24 RBI.

Bowden Francis gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 2-3 with a 3.58 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. Francis is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Red Sox.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs against the Red Sox following a loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against American League opponents.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games.
• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games at Rogers Centre following a win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Red Sox and Blue Jays.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Red Sox after not playing the previous day.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Anthony Santander has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances against the Red Sox after not playing the previous day.
• Bo Bichette has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Andres Gimenez ranks T7th in the league in Steals (8) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Blue Jays after not playing the previous day.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Trevor Story has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites against the Blue Jays.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites against the Blue Jays.
• Alex Bregman ranks T4th in the league in Hits (37) this season.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction

Crochet is coming off a shaky performance in his last outing against the Mariners, but he’s still allowed just six earned runs in his last 32 innings. Crochet has been one of the hottest pitchers in baseball in the month of April. Francis has been respectable as well, allowing 11 earned runs in 27.2 innings while racking up 22 strikeouts.

However, the Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games and aren’t stringing together offense. The Blue Jays have scored four or fewer runs in each of their last 10 games. The Blue Jays are 6-14 this season when scoring four or fewer runs. I need to see the Blue Jays get their act together before I can trust them most nights, especially against good teams. Give me the Red Sox.