Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction 8/11/26 MLB Picks Today
Boston Red Sox (64-54) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (57-63)
August 11, 2026 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -149 / Boston Red Sox 123; Over/Under: 7.5
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In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 11th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 57-63 this year after they won game one by a score of 2-1 on Monday night. Toronto scored once in the fifth and once in the sixth, which was enough for the low scoring win. The Blue Jays recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by McAdoo, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Taillon allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Woods Richardson got the win and Varland picked up the save. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost a makeup game against the Cubs before that.
This season, Toronto has a 3.99 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 471 runs with a .241 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 24 home runs and 70 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added eight home runs and 48 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Dylan Cease, who is 7-5 with a 2.28 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 126.1 innings pitched this year.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 64-54 this season after they lost game one by a score of 1-2 last night. Boston cut the deficit to 2-1 in the seventh inning, but they stranded a runner on third in the ninth for the loss. The Red Sox recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rafaela, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Gray allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Moran threw two innings in relief. Prior to this series, Boston lost two out of three against the Athletics, but did sweep the White Sox before that.
This season, Boston has a 3.49 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 524 runs with a .248 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 23 home runs and 70 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 16 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Patrick Sandoval, who is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP over 24.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have won four of their last five home games.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs.
- The Blue Jays have lost 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last nine games as home favorites against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last seven road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games against American League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight road games against American League opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- George Springer has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against the Red Sox.
- Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against the Red Sox.
- Dylan Cease has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three games as underdogs.
- Patrick Sandoval has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 13 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction
Boston comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have scored just seven runs in those three games. The Red Sox are 35-23 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 29-31 at home. Toronto has won three of their last four games and they have scored 5+ runs in three of those four. The Blue Jays are starting Cease, who has allowed one earned in his last 22.0 innings, while Sandoval has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the Blue Jays at home here.