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Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction 8/13/26 MLB Picks Today

Boston Red Sox (64-56) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (59-63)
August 13, 2026 3:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays 137 / Boston Red Sox -167; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 13th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 59-63 this year after they won the first three games by scores of 2-1, 5-3, and 6-4. In game three, Toronto blew a 1-0 lead in the fifth inning, but they scored five runs in the eighth to get the win. The Blue Jays recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Straw, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Soriano allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Rogers got the win in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost a makeup game against the Cubs before that. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 482 runs with a .243 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 24 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added eight home runs and 48 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Max Scherzer, who is 1-4 with a 7.25 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 64-56 this season after they lost game three by a score of 4-6 on Wednesday night. Boston fell apart in the eighth inning, but they scored three times in the ninth to make it interesting. The Red Sox recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Contreras, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Suarez allowed six hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Guerrero allowed four earned runs in relief for the loss. Prior to this series, Boston lost two out of three against the Athletics, but did sweep the White Sox before that. 

This season, Boston has a 3.51 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 531 runs with a .248 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 24 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Payton Tolle, who is 7-6 with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 107.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last nine Thursday games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 18 Thursday games as underdogs.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against the Red Sox.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Thursday games as underdogs.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four day games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Red Sox have won each of their last six Thursday day road games.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in 10 of their last 13 day games at Rogers Centre following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road day games.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games against American League opponents.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last six road games against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • George Springer has hit at least one home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four Thursday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Max Scherzer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in four of the Red Sox’s last six road games.
  • Payton Tolle has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 15 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Payton Tolle has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction

Toronto comes into this matchup looking for the rare four game sweep and they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five games. The Blue Jays are 31-31 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 35-25 on the road. Boston has dropped five in a row and they have really cooled off since their hot streak. The Red Sox are starting Tolle, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Scherzer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Take the Red Sox to get the win here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Red Sox ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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