Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 8/16/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 16th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 61-64 this year after they won the first two games by scores of 3-1 and 4-1. In game two, Toronto tied the game in the third inning and pulled away in the later innings for the win. The Blue Jays recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by McAdoo, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Fisher opened the game, while Miles picked up the win and Varland got the save. Prior to this series, Toronto won three out of four against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Phillies. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 489 runs with a .242 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 24 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added eight home runs and 48 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Dylan Cease, who is 7-5 with a 2.40 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 131.1 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 68-55 this season after they lost game two by a score of 1-4 on Saturday afternoon. New York took a 1-0 lead in the second inning, but failed to score over the last seven innings in the loss. The Yankees recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Lombard Jr, who went 1-2 with one RBI. Schlittler allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings, while Headrick picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Mariners and two out of three against the Braves. 

This season, New York has a 3.28 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 547 runs with a .230 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 32 home runs and 76 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Ryan Weathers, who is 5-7 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 126.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The home team has won six of the Blue Jays’ last seven games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Yankees.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Blue Jays have lost 10 of their last 12 games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The underdogs have won each of the Yankees’ last three games.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Sunday games as home favorites.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last six day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Yankees’ last nine day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last nine day games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• Dylan Cease has recorded 10+ strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Dylan Cease has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Jones has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two games as road underdogs.
• Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have scored one or fewer in all three of those losses. The Yankees are 37-28 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 33-32 at home. Toronto has won four of their last five games and they have allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last five. The Blue Jays are starting Cease, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Weathers has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. Take the under here.