Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8-24-24 MLB Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks (73-56) vs. Boston Red Sox (67-60)
August 24, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -115 / Arizona Diamondbacks -106; Over/Under: +9.5
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In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 24th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 67-60 this year and they have won two of their last three games. Boston dropped the first game in this series on Friday night and they allowed 12 runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Astros, split four games with the Orioles, and won two out of three against the Rangers. Boston is 4-5 in their last nine games and they are third in the AL East.
The Boston pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 630 runs with a .261 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .292 with 27 home runs and 77 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 73-56 this season and they have won four games in a row. Arizona won the first game in this series by a score of 12-2 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks swept the Marlins, lost all three against the Rays, and swept the Rockies. Arizona is 10-3 in their last 13 games and they are second in the NL West.
The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 690 runs with a .261 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Corbin Carroll is batting .222 with 14 home runs and 52 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Kutter Crawford, who is 8-10 with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 142.0 innings pitched this season. Crawford has allowed at least three earned runs in five straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Zac Gallen, who is 9-6 with a 3.85 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 110.0 innings pitched this year. Gallen has allowed at least four earned runs in two of his last three starts, with both of those outings coming on the road.
Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Red Sox
- The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last four home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last three games against the Red Sox.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last three games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last six day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Wilyer Abreu has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against NL West opponents.
- Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last nine games against NL West opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox’s last 20 games against NL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox’s last four games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 20 games against NL opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Zac Gallen has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in nine of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs against AL opponents.
- Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in 12 of the Diamondbacks’ last 13 games.
- Ketel Marte has hit a home run in six of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Eugenio Suarez has recorded a Double in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Ketel Marte has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Arizona comes into this game playing very well recently and they are looking for their fifth win in a row. The Diamondbacks are 36-30 on the road this season and they are trying to catch the Dodgers in the NL West. Boston has fallen behind in the race for the AL East and they are just 29-33 at home this season. Boston is starting Kutter Crawford, who has been pretty bad over the last month. Arizona is turning to Zac Gallen, who has really struggled in his last two road starts. I don’t like how either starting pitcher has looked recently and while I do think we will see plenty of runs, my Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction is for the Diamondbacks to stay hot.