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Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 6-4-24 Picks

Atlanta Braves (33-24) vs. Boston Red Sox (30-30)
June 4, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox +127 / Atlanta Braves -152; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and the Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will start Max Fried in this one and Fried is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. This will be Fried’s second career start against Boston. The Boston Red Sox will trot out Kutter Crawford here and Crawford is 2-4 with a 3.29 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. This will be Crawford’s second career start against the Braves

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this one looking to build on their series win over the Oakland A’s, taking two of three from Oakland after a 3-1 win over the A’s in Sunday’s series finale, bouncing back from their series loss to the Washington Nationals last week as well.

Braves Still Have Loaded Lineup

Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 66 hits including 17 home runs and 53 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has a team-high 14 doubles and Ozzie Albies also has 14 doubles, logging 53 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is now out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has 14 doubles with a team-high 63 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 10 doubles with a pair of triples.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have won each of their last five games against AL East opponents.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against AL East opponents.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this one looking to rebound from settling for a series split with the Detroit Tigers thanks to an 8-4 loss to Detroit in Sunday’s series finale, following up the Red Sox’ series losses to the Orioles and Brewers over the last week and a half.

Red Sox Struggling For Consistency

Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 64 hits along with 11 stolen bases, 17 doubles, 8 triples and 61 strikeouts and also has 24 RBIs so far this season. Tyler O’Neill has a team-high 11 home runs and Wilyer Abreu has 14 doubles. Ceddanne Rafaela also has a team-leading 33 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 52 hits with 12 doubles, 11 home runs, 29 RBIs and a .283 batting average this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Braves have lost each of their last six games as favorites following a win.
  • The Red Sox have won three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites following a win.
  • The home team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Braves and Red Sox.
  • The Red Sox have won the first inning in six of their last seven games as home underdogs.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as home underdogs.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in four of their last six games as home underdogs.

Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m on the Braves in this one. I get the case to be made for the Red Sox as a home underdog, but the Red Sox haven’t been overly effective at home regardless of who’s been on the mound or who is at the plate as of late and the Red Sox have also really been struggling against left-handed pitching for the better part of the season. The Braves have had issues of their own, but Fried’s been one of their best starters full stop this season and I think he guides the Braves to a much-needed series opening win here. Give me Atlanta.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Atlanta -152

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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