Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9-10-24 MLB Picks

The Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Red Sox vs Orioles pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Orioles played the rival Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend. Baltimore won the first game 2-0 but then lost the remaining pair 7-1 and 2-0. In the Monday opener versus the Red Sox, the O’s took a blowout loss 12-3.

The starter for Tuesday will be Baltimore’s Albert Suarez. This year Suarez is 7-5 with a 3.49 ERA in 28 games (20 starts). Suarez is 10-13 with a 4.01 ERA in 68 career games (32 starts).

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over on the Red Sox’ side, they took on the Chicago White Sox in their last game. Boston won 3-1 and 7-5 in the first two but fell 7-2 in the finale. On Monday the Sox scored four runs in the sixth inning and had 15 team hits in the win.

It’ll be Kutter Crawford at the start on Tuesday. So far Crawford is 8-13 with a 4.08 ERA in 29 starts. Crawford is 17-28 with a 4.46 ERA in 82 career games (65 starts).

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the last 10 games between the Orioles and Red Sox at Fenway Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Orioles’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six Tuesday games against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Tyler O’Neill has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last nine home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as home favorites against the Orioles.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jarren Duran ranks T9th in the league in Steals (32) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Santander has hit a home run in six of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Double in four of the Orioles’ last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Anthony Santander has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 Tuesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Gunnar Henderson has scored a run in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games against the Red Sox.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 12 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Anthony Santander ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (40) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (280).
• The Boston Red Sox are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.438).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (212).

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’ll lean Red Sox here. Crawford needs some backup, though. In his last three starts combined, Crawford is 0-3 but he hasn’t been pitching badly. In that trio, he’s got six earned in 17.2 total frames. As for Suarez, he’s coming off six earned in 4.1 innings versus the White Sox but was pitching pretty well before that.

On Monday the Sox scored multiple runs in four different innings during a dominant offensive showing. Boston only used two pitchers from the pen as well, which means they’ll have a fresh crop of arms behind Crawford in game two.