Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9-9-24 MLB Picks

The Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Red Sox vs Orioles pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The O’s took on the Tampa Bay Rays in their weekend set. After a split in the first two games, in the Sunday rubber match, Baltimore was out-hit 8-5 in a 2-0 shutout loss. Starter Corbin Burnes gave up both earned runs in 6.0 innings on seven hits and two walks.

As a starter for Monday’s opener, the Orioles are going with Cade Povich. In the first 12 starts of his career, Povich is 2-7 with a 5.76 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Orioles and Red Sox at Fenway Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Orioles’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six Monday games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five Monday games at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last five night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox’s last nine night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Triston Casas has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last eight home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Cedric Mullins has scored at least one run in each of his last seven road appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last five games against the Red Sox.
• Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances at Fenway Park.
• Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances at Fenway Park.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last five games against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over on the Red Sox’ side, they played the Chicago White Sox in the Laundry Series over the weekend. Boston won 3-1 and 7-5 in the first pair. On Sunday the Red Sox coughed up five runs in the ninth inning on the way to a rough loss 7-2. Starter Richard Fitts posted 5.2 innings with six hits, one walk, and no earned runs.

Brayan Bello will start for the Red Sox on Monday. This year Bello is 12-7 with a 4.75 ERA in 26 starts. Bello is 26-26 with a 4.52 ERA in 67 career games (65 starts).

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I may lean toward the Orioles here. Much of that is due to Bello’s inconsistent numbers recently. He did post a nice win over the Jays with 8.0 clean frames back on August 28. In the other two of his last three starts, however, Bello is 0-2 with nine earned in 10.1 innings.

On Sunday the O’s had next to no life offensively. Out of their five hits, Gunnar Henderson had three and Cedric Mullins had the other pair. The good news is that the pitching staff did a solid job. Baltimore needs to get the bats going Monday, though.