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Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 5-30-24 Picks

Detroit Tigers (27-28) vs. Boston Red Sox (28-27)
May 30, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -111 / Detroit Tigers -106; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 30th at T-Mobile Park. 

Tigers Split Doubleheader

The Tigers split a doubleheader on Wednesday. The Tigers were able to win the first game of the doubleheader, but in the second game, the pitching was an issue, giving up 10 runs. Keider Montero went 4.1 innings giving up five hits and four runs. The Tigers are averaging 4.32 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.17  runs per game. The offense is ranked 17th in the league while the pitching is ranked 12th. They do have a positive run differential of 0.53 runs per game which is 9th in the league. Riley Greene has hit nine home runs and driven in 20 RBIs. The Tigers will play against the Rangers, Brewers, and Nationals following this series.

Flaherty Needs To Be Good

Getting the start for the Tigers will be Jack Flaherty who sits with a 1-4 record and an ERA of 3.84. In his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays, he went 6.1 innings giving up seven hits and three runs. 

Why Tigers Will Win

  • The Tigers have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the Red Sox’s last 11 games at Fenway Park.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against AL East opponents.

Red Sox Looks to Bounce Back

The Red Sox are looking to bounce back after really struggling in the last game. The Red Sox scored only one run and that led to the defeat at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles. The Red Sox are averaging 4.41 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.89 runs per game. The offense is ranked 12th in the league while the pitching is ranked 9th. They do have a positive run differential of 0.53 which is also 9th in the league. Rafael Devers has hit 10 home runs and driven in 26 RBIs. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Nick Pivetta who sits with a 2-3 record and an ERA of 4.20. In his last start against the Milwaukee Brewers, he went 3.1 innings giving up seven hits and five runs. 

Why Red Sox Will Win

  • The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight night games against the Tigers following a road loss.
  • The Tigers have lost each of their last four road games.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Tigers following a loss.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games at Fenway Park against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Pivetta really struggled in his last start, but he’s going to be a whole lot better here. Flaherty sits with an ERA of 3.84 and he’s going to lockdown here. The Red Sox bats are going to be ice cold here. The Tigers still have a positive run differential and they are going to get out to a fast start here. The Red Sox will score only a run or two total, and Detroit is going to get the job one. Back the Tigers on the money line. 

 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Tigers ML

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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