Detroit Tigers (28-29) vs. Boston Red Sox (29-29)
June 1, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox +100 / Detroit Tigers -120; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 1st at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Red Sox Trying to Get Above .500
The Boston Red Sox are 29-29 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Boston dropped game one in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 7-3 on Friday. Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against the Orioles, lost two out of three against the Brewers, and swept the Rays in three games. Boston is just 3-5 in their last eight games and they are third in the AL East behind New York and Baltimore.
The Boston pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 251 runs with a .242 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .278 with 10 home runs and 26 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has one of the better team ERA’s in baseball, but they have allowed at least five runs in five of their last eight games.
Tigers are Fading in the AL Central
The Detroit Tigers are 28-29 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Detroit won game one in this series by a score of 5-0 on Thursday, but they allowed seven runs in the loss on Friday. Prior to this series, the Tigers split two games with the Pirates, won three out of four against the Blue Jays, and were swept by the Royals. Detroit has played slightly better over the last week, but they are 10 games behind Cleveland in the AL Central.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 243 runs with a .234 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .239 with 10 home runs and 22 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit is 10th in team ERA this year, but they have allowed at least five runs in eight of their last twelve games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 1-5 with a 1.92 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 56.1 innings pitched this season. Olson has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts and has been great for Detroit, but he gets very little run support. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Cooper Criswell, who is 2-2 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 38.2 innings pitched this year. Criswell has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow seven earned runs against Baltimore in his last outing.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
The Red Sox have lost nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents following a home win.
The Tigers have won each of their last six games as favorites against the Red Sox following a loss.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
The Tigers have covered the run line in four of their last five road games against the Red Sox following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
Nine of the Tigers’ last 10 road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the last six games between the Tigers and Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five day games at Fenway Park.
Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
These two teams have split the first two games in this series and they are both trying to stay relevant within their divisions, so this is an important game for both sides. Detroit is 14-14 on the road and their offense has hit the ball better over the last week. The Tigers are starting Reese Olson, who has been fantastic this season, but has had very little run support. Boston is going with Criswell, who isn’t my favorite pitcher and was roughed up in his last start. I really like how Olson has looked this season and my Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers prediction is for the Tigers to get the win.
