Red Sox vs Royals Prediction 8-4-25 MLB Picks

The Kansas City Royals and the Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Red Sox vs Royals Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Kansas City Royals will send out Bailey Falter for the start here and Falter is 7-5 with a 3.73 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. The Boston Red Sox will trot out Brayan Bello for the start here and Bello is 7-5 with a 3.19 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season.

Kansas City Royals Recap

The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to add on to their 7-4 win over the Toronto Blue Jays last time out to improve to 56-56 on the year. After this series, the Royals will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.

Royals Win 7 Of Their Last 10

Bobby Witt Jr. has 125 hits with 37 doubles and 29 stolen bases along with 3 triples, 16 home runs and 63 RBIs while Vinnie Pasquantino has 112 hits with 18 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. Maikel Garcia’s added 121 hits with 28 doubles, 5 triples, 10 home runs and 48 RBIs and 20 stolen bases and Salvador Perez also has 20 home runs and 66 RBIs but also has 88 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have won four of their last five games as underdogs following an extra innings win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have covered the run line each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in six of the Royals’ last eight road games.
• Kyle Isbel has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Royals as underdogs against the Red Sox.
• Kyle Isbel has recorded two hits in each of the Royals’ last three road games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 6th in the league in Hits (125) this season.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to add on to their 6-1 win over the Houston Astros last time out to sit at 62-51 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head on the road for a series against the San Diego Padres.

Red Sox Win 5 Straight

Alex Bregman has 75 hits including 20 doubles along with 14 home runs and 44 RBIs this season. Trevor Story’s added 107 hits with 18 home runs, 69 RBIs and 18 stolen bases while Jarren Duran has 117 hits with 30 doubles, 12 triples, 11 home runs, 60 RBIs and a team-high 18 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell’s added 51 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 20 home runs with 59 RBIs and 6 stolen bases and Ceddanne Rafaela has 14 homers, 23 doubles, 2 triples, 50 RBIs and 14 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 12 home games after playing the previous day.
• The Royals have lost 19 of their last 21 night games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox’s last four night games.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Royals.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Royals’ last five games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.

Red Sox vs Royals Prediction

I’m on the Royals in this one. I think that’s honestly where the value is between two teams that are simply red-hot right now. Furthermore, I could easily understand the case to be made for the Red Sox as Boston has their eyes set on the top of the AL East with the Blue Jays stumbling. But KC showed that they’re finding ways to win right now, and I think Bailey Falter might be a bit of an underrated pickup at the deadline. Brayan Bello has had issues at home going back to last season, and I think those issues could show up again here. Give me Kansas City in this one.