Minnesota Twins (80-73) vs. Boston Red Sox (76-75)
September 20, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox +108 / Minnesota Twins -128; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Twins and Boston Red Sox meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This article will include a Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Pick.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 80-73 on the year after playing the Reds and Guardians. The Minnesota Twins have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 132 hits and 57 RBI, while Carlos Santana and Jose Miranda have combined for 231 hits and 114 RBI.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 76-77 on the year after playing the Yankees and Rays. The Boston Red Sox have scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Boston Red Sox have lost 7 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 180 hits and 73 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 270 hits and 153 RBI.
Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Pick Matchup
David Festa gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 2-6 with a 5.07 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. Festa has allowed 12 hits and 8 runs in his last 12.2 innings. Festa has a 3.96 ERA and a .237 allowed batting average in 25 road innings. This will be Festa’s first career game against the Boston Red Sox.
Richard Fitts gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. Fitts has allowed 8 hits and 0 earned runs in 10.2 innings this season. Fitts will make his third career MLB start. This will be Fitts’ first career game against the Minnesota Twins.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last six home games against the Twins following a loss.
- The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games after going to extra innings.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 16 games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last three games against the Twins at Fenway Park.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox’s last 12 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Tyler O’Neill has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tyler O’Neill has hit at least one home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 12 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Manuel Margot has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances in night games.
- Kyle Farmer has scored at least one run in each of the Twins’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Farmer has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Carlos Santana has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (292).
- The Boston Red Sox are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (296).
- The Minnesota Twins rank T29th in the league for steals this season (64).
Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
The Minnesota Twins are going to be favored because they’re the better team and are closing in on a wild-card spot. However, I can’t get behind David Festa and his struggles, especially in his favorite role. Richard Fitts has held his own through two starts, and while it’s unlikely, the Red Sox are still in the wild card race in their own right. At home and with the better pitcher, despite the small sample size, give me the Red Sox and the more favorable price.
