Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Prediction 6/25/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox meet Thursday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Cam Schlittler for the start here and Schlittler is 8-3 with a 1.71 ERA and 109 strikeouts this season. Connelly Early will start for Boston and is 6-5 with a 3.64 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over the Tigers last time out to sit at 48-31 this season. After this series, the Yankees will head home for a series rematch with Detroit.

Yankees Win Back-To-Back Games

Ben Rice has 79 hits with 15 doubles, 22 home runs and 53 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 53 hits with 10 doubles, 17 home runs and 38 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 77 hits with 16 doubles, 3 triples, 11 home runs and 49 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 62 hits with 10 doubles, 12 home runs and 33 RBIs as well on the year.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to shake off their 8-6 loss at the hands of the Colorado Rockies last time out to sit at 32-46 this season. After this series, the Red Sox will take on the Washington Nationals in a series at home.

Red Sox Drop 7 Of Last 10

Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 81 hits including 16 doubles, 2 triples, 10 home runs and 38 RBIs while Trevor Story has 34 hits with 7 doubles, 3 homers and 19 RBIs and Marcelo Mayer’s added 45 hits with 10 doubles, 3 home runs and 22 RBIs as well. Roman Anthony has 25 hits with 5 doubles, a triple, a home run and 5 RBIs so far this season while Jarren Duran has 58 hits with 9 doubles, 12 home runs and 37 RBIs as well this season. Willson Contreras has added 76 hits with 13 doubles, 16 homers and 46 RBIs of his own on the year.

New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox Betting Trends: June 25, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Connelly Early      Record this season: 6-5      ERA: 3.64
• Home Record: 2-4
• Last 5 against Yankees: 0-2

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Yankees’ last five games.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last five night games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Yankees’ last five games.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cam Schlittler      Record this season: 8-3      ERA: 1.71
• Road Record: 6-1
• Last 5 against Red Sox: 2-0

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have won eight of their last nine road games after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Thursday home games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home games.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Yankees and Red Sox at Fenway Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Yankees’ last nine games as favorites against the Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last nine Thursday night games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last five games as road favorites.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Connelly Early has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances with the Red Sox as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Connelly Early has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Narvaez has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in two of the Yankees’ last three games against the Red Sox.
• Cam Schlittler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Cam Schlittler has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jasson Dominguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL East opponents.
• Cam Schlittler ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.71) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (307).
• The Red Sox rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (294).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (119).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.34).

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’m on the Yankees here. I think that Cam Schlittler is still the better starting option in this game, and while Connelly Early is a decent arm, the fact is that the Red Sox are coming off of a Coors Field series with no day off in between games and that could really affect their ability to back up Early in this game so I’ll back New York to draw first blood in this rivalry series.