Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Prediction 7-26-24 Picks

The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox square off Friday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will start Nestor Cortes here and Cortes is 4-9 with a 3.99 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Boston, Cortes is 2-0 with a 2.88 ERA and 28 strikeouts. Brayan Bello will get the start for the Red Sox and is 10-5 with a 5.27 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against New York, Bello is 2-2 with a 2.64 ERA and 24 strikeouts.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees are in dire need of a positive break after being swept in the Subway Series in 2024, losing their series finale against the Mets on Wednesday by a final score of 12-3. The series loss followed a four-game series split with the Rays right out of the all-star break.

Yankees Looking To Right The Ship

Juan Soto has 114 hits along with 20 doubles and 26 home runs with 72 RBIs to go along with a .311 batting average and .435 OBP. Aaron Judge has a team-high 35 home runs and 89 RBIs of his own along with a team-leading 24 doubles while also posting 111 strikeouts so far this season. Anthony Volpe’s added 107 hits with 7 home runs, 7 triples, 36 RBIs and a team-high 17 stolen bases as well this season. Alex Verdugo has 20 doubles and 47 RBIs and Giancarlo Stanton also has 18 home runs, 45 RBIs and 90 strikeouts this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Red Sox have lost nine of their last 10 home games following a road loss.
• The Yankees have won each of their last six Friday road games.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games at Fenway Park following a road loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six Friday night road games.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this one looking to bounce back themselves after a rough west coast road trip out of the all-star break with a 20-7 loss ending the trip at the hands of the Colorado Rockies last time out. The loss followed the series loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers, making Boston just 1-5 since the all-star break.

Red Sox Trying To Stay Alive In Playoff Hunt

Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 124 hits along with 22 stolen bases, 30 doubles, 10 triples and 101 strikeouts and also has 51 RBIs so far this season. Wilyer Abreu has 21 doubles and Ceddanne Rafaela also has 53 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 98 hits with 22 doubles, 23 home runs, 63 RBIs and a .293 batting average this season. Tyler O’Neill also has 20 home runs and 38 RBIs as well while David Hamilton has a team-high 25 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Yankees following a loss.
• The Yankees have lost nine of their last 11 games as road favorites.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites following a home loss.

Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Prediction

I’m on the Red Sox here. Brayan Bello hasn’t been spectacular at home, but the Red Sox have had a tendency to back him up offensively and I’m not trying to deviate from that. The Yankees just can’t seem to win with Nestor Cortes on the road, and I think the Yankees continue to struggle. I’ll side with the Red Sox in this one at home.