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Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics Prediction 7-11-24 Picks

Oakland Athletics (35-59) vs. Boston Red Sox (50-41)
July 11, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -210 / Oakland Athletics +175; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 11th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Red Sox Trying to Avoid a Bad Series Loss 

The Boston Red Sox are 50-41 this season and they have won two of their last three games. Boston won the first game in this series by a score of 12-9 on Tuesday, but they only managed two runs in the game two loss. Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Yankees, swept the Marlins in three games, and lost two out of three against the Padres. Boston is 7-2 in their last nine games and they are third in the AL East. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 428 runs with a .253 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Jarren Duran is batting .280 with 10 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has scored at least five runs in five of their last eight games. 

Athletics are Showing Some Fight 

The Oakland Athletics are 35-59 this year and they have split their last four games. Oakland allowed 12 runs in their game one loss, but they won game two by a score of 5-2. Prior to this series, the Athletics lost two out of three against the Orioles, swept the Angels, and lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Oakland is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are last in the AL West. 

The Oakland pitching staff has a 4.40 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .258 opponent batting average. The Athletics offense has scored 361 runs with a .225 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Brent Rooker is batting .282 with 18 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Athletics this season. Oakland has scored at least five runs in six of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 7-6 with a 2.68 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 111.0 innings pitched this year. Houck has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Oakland is Luis Medina, who is 2-3 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 35.0 innings pitched this season. Medina has allowed one earned run in three of his last four outings. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Athletics

  • The Athletics have lost 22 of their last 24 road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Red Sox have won 15 of their last 18 home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Athletics’ last eight night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Red Sox’s last six home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Red Sox’s last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances at Fenway Park.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances.
  • Connor Wong has recorded a Single in each of his last nine home appearances.

Oakland Athletics Player Prop Facts

  • Brent Rooker has hit a home run in four of the Athletics’ last seven night games.
  • Brent Rooker has recorded a Double in each of the Athletics’ last three road games against AL East opponents.
  • Brent Rooker has scored at least one run in each of the Athletics’ last four games.
  • Shea Langeliers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Shea Langeliers has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Shea Langeliers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Athletics’ last five games against AL East opponents.
  • Shea Langeliers has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics Prediction 

Boston comes into this game playing like one of the best teams in baseball over the last two months, but they did lose game two on Wednesday. The Red Sox are just 21-24 at home, while the Athletics are 13-34 on the road this year. Boston is starting Tanner Houck, who has great numbers on the season and should be able to limit this Oakland offense. The A’s are going with Luis Medina, who has a very elevated WHIP, but he has done a great job of limiting runs in his last four starts. Oakland plays their best baseball at home, but I can’t trust them on the road here, especially with them going up against Houck. My Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics prediction is for the Red Sox to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Red Sox -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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