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Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 6-12-24 Picks

Philadelphia Phillies (46-20) vs. Boston Red Sox (33-34)
June 12, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox +110 / Philadelphia Phillies -120; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and Boston Red Sox meet Wednesday in MLB game 2 action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 46-20 on the year after wins over the Brewers and Mets. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 12 of their last 15 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 72 hits and 51 RBI while Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 120 hits and 83 RBI.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox look to get back to a .500 record after losses to the Braves and White Sox. The Boston Red Sox have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Boston Red Sox have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 72 hits and 27 RBI while Rafael Devers and Connor Wong have combined for 113 hits and 53 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-3 with a 2.71 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. Sanchez has allowed 8 hits and 1 run in his last 12 innings. Sanchez has a 3.68 ERA and .285 allowed batting average in 29.1 road innings. This will be Sanchez’s second career game against the Boston Red Sox.

Nick Pivetta gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 3-4 with a 3.40 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. Pivetta has allowed 4 hits and 2 runs in his last 12.1 innings. Pivetta has a 3.80 ERA and .192 allowed batting average in 21.1 home innings. This will be Pivetta’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Phillies have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a road win.
  • The underdogs have won six of the Phillies’ last nine games at Fenway Park.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Phillies following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday home games.
  • The Red Sox have won the first inning in six of their last nine games as home underdogs.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Wednesday home games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Pivetta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last nine Wednesday night games.
  • Triston Casas has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances against the Phillies.
  • Triston Casas has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Phillies.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine home appearances against the Phillies.
  • Rafael Devers ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.546) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Bryce Harper has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Trea Turner has recorded two or more hits in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Bryson Stott ranks 5th in the league in Steals (18) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (19).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (171).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (49).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (2.90).

Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are the better team, and they’re on a heater, so they’re going to get the benefit of the doubt. Cristopher Sanchez has also been solid this season, with an ERA under 3. However, the Red Sox aren’t a pushover and Nick Pivetta is a quality pitcher with above average stuff. Pivetta has shown flashes of brilliance this season, and he has top tier stuff when he’s right. Getting Pivetta in the underdog role has value. Give me the Red Sox and the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox +110

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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