The Boston Red Sox and the San Diego Padres meet in MLB action from Petco Park on Saturday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

San Diego is a -125 home favorite while Boston is a +105 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 8 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Chris Sale will get the start for the Red Sox and is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. Joe Musgrove will start for the Padres and is 1-1 with a 6.63 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Boston’s 6-1 win over San Diego on Friday made it 8 wins in the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Trends

Boston is 51-18 in their last 69 interleague road games and 5-2 in their last 7 Saturday games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games against the NL West. San Diego is 1-7 in their last 8 games overall and 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games while the under is 8-0 in their last 8 interleague games against a team with a winning record.

Pick

I’m backing the Red Sox here. Again, I feel that the Padres are overvalued, even laying a reasonable number in this game. The Padres’ lineup takes a huge hit without Manny Machado, and while I like Joe Musgrove, I don’t know if I can back him here. The Red Sox have been hitting righties fairly well in the month of May and I think they get another one here. Give me Boston and the plus money.