Red Sox vs Rays Prediction 7-13-25 MLB Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Red Sox vs Rays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Ryan Pepiot for the start here, and Pepiot is 6-6 with a 3.32 ERA and 107 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Red Sox, Pepiot is 0-3 with a 4.91 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Brayan Bello will get the nod for the Red Sox here and is 5-3 with a 3.27 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Boston, Bello is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 27 strikeouts.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to rebound from a 1-0 loss at the hands of the Red Sox on Saturday to slip to 50-46 on the year. After the all-star break, the Rays will take on the Baltimore Orioles at home.

Rays Lose 9 Of Their Last 12

Jonathan Aranda has 99 hits with 19 doubles, 11 home runs, and 49 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 86 hits with 19 homers and 50 RBIs as well, while Junior Caminero has 87 hits with 19 doubles, a team-high 22 home runs, and 58 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 101 hits with 18 doubles, 14 homers, and 53 RBIs, and Kameron Misner has 42 hits with 9 doubles, 5 homers, and 22 RBIs as well, while Christopher Morel has 62 strikeouts while Lowe has 85 strikeouts, and Misner has 69 K’s as well this season. Jose Caballero has 31 stolen bases, while Taylor Walls has 10 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won eight of their last nine day games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last four Sunday games as home favorites.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 14 games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a win.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
• Jonathan Aranda ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.401) this season.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox will be out to build on their win over Tampa Bay to sit at 52-45 this season. After the all-star break, the Red Sox will travel to Wrigley Field for a game against the Chicago Cubs.

Red Sox Win 9 In A Row

Alex Bregman has 59 hits, including 17 doubles along with 11 home runs, and 35 RBIs this season. Trevor Story added 88 hits with 15 home runs, 57 RBIs, and 14 stolen bases, while Jarren Duran has 101 hits with 24 doubles, 10 triples, 8 home runs, 50 RBIs, and a team-high 15 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell added 51 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers, and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 18 home runs with 52 RBIs and 5 stolen bases, and Ceddanne Rafaela has 12 homers, 21 doubles, 2 triples, 41 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last nine games.
• The Rays have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight Sunday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in four of the Red Sox’s last five day games.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 games as home favorites against AL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Red Sox’s last six games as favorites against the Rays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Rays’ last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction

I’m backing the Red Sox here. It was a bit alarming to see the Red Sox cool down offensively, but they still found a way to get the job done against the Rays and now have Bello going, who has been better at home this season. Pepiot has struggled against the Red Sox this year so far, and I think the Red Sox add on and push the win streak another game here. Give me the Red Sox.