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Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 6-26-24 Picks

Toronto Blue Jays (35-43) vs. Boston Red Sox (43-36)
June 26, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -175 / Toronto Blue Jays +148; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox meet Wednesday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Blue Jays took on the Cleveland Guardians over the weekend. Toronto did poorly in that series, falling in a sweep with losses 7-1, 6-3 and 6-5. Following another loss 7-6 to the Sox on Monday, in game two the Jays scored seven in the third inning on the way to a 9-4 victory. Kevin Gausman went 6.0 innings in the start with five hits and a walk.


In the starter role for Toronto on Wednesday it’ll be Yariel Rodriguez. This year Rodriguez is 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA and 17 Ks in 16.2 innings over the first five starts of his career.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over on the Sox’ side, they played the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. Boston lost 5-2 on Friday but came back with wins 4-3 and 7-4 to take the series in the weekend matchups. On Tuesday the Red Sox were out-hit 11-5 and had three errors. Starter Brayan Bello gave up seven in 2.1 innings.

It’ll be Kutter Crawford as starter for the Sox on Wednesday. This year Crawford is 3-7 with a 3.59 ERA in 16 starts. Crawford is 12-22 with a 4.39 ERA in 69 career games (52 starts).

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Pick Injury Notes

Blue Jays 1B Joey Votto (ankle) is missing games during his rehab stint due to tightness in his lower back.

Red Sox 1B Triston Casas (ribs) received an MRI Monday to monitor healing.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Blue Jays’ last six games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five games as favorites against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Rafael Devers has hit at least one home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five games as home favorites.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last four home games against AL East opponents.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox’s last nine home games against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 15 road games against AL opponents.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last 15 road games against AL opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in each of the Blue Jays’ last six road games against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Sox. Probably not touching this one, though. Crawford has been okay recently, posting eight combined earned runs over his last three starts in 18.1 innings of work. Crawford is just 1-2 in that time, though. As for Rodriguez, he’s got nine earned runs in his last 9.0 innings total.

On Tuesday the Sox had a brief 2-0 lead in the second but that went away quickly. Boston’s pitching was rough, but there were a lot of holes on offense as well. It was an all-around ugly game. The Red Sox need a big turnaround for game three.

Andrew's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox -175

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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