Braves vs Cardinals Prediction 7/1/26 MLB Picks Today
St. Louis Cardinals (44-38) vs. Atlanta Braves (49-34)
July 1, 2026 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -137 / St. Louis Cardinals 114; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
The St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves meet Wednesday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Cardinals Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Cardinals Pick.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 44-38 on the year and play the Brewers and Cubs next. The St. Louis Cardinals are batting .246 on the season, with a .323 OBP and a .393 slugging percentage. The St. Louis Cardinals’ pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Jordan Walker leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 90 hits and 58 RBI, while Alec Burleson and JJ Wetherholt have combined for 167 hits and 91 RBI.
Michael McGreevy gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 3-6 with a 3.12 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. This will be McGreevy’s first career game against the Atlanta Braves.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 49-34 on the year and play the Mets and Pirates next. The Atlanta Braves are batting. 247 on the season and have a .311 OBP and a .406 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 89 hits and 52 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Michael Harris II have combined for 169 hits and 89 RBI.
Reynaldo Lopez gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Lopez is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won six of their last seven night games at Truist Park following a home loss.
- The Cardinals have lost five of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five games following a home loss.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won five of the Braves’ last six games at Truist Park.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Cardinals’ last eight games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites.
- The Cardinals have won the first inning in three of their last four road games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Cardinals’ last 10 games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last five games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Braves’ last nine night games against NL Central opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight night games against National League opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 14 night games.
- Rowdy Tellez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances after playing the previous day.
- Matt Olson ranks T9th in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Michael McGreevy has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- Masyn Winn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against the Braves.
- Nelson Velázquez has hit a home run in each of his three previous appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Ivan Herrera ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.43).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.226).
- The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (114).
- The Cardinals rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (631).
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction
We’re getting plus money to fade a Braves team that’s cooled off over the last week or so. It’s also tough to ignore McGreevy and his 3.12 ERA and 1.14 WHIP through 89.1 innings. McGreevy has allowed just 11 runs in his last 29 innings. I’ve never been a fan of openers, so seeing Lopez on the mound doesn’t do much for me. The Braves will get back on track sooner rather than later, but I’m going to take a stab at the Cards and the plus money.