Braves vs Cubs Prediction 5/14/26 MLB Picks Today

The Chicago Cubs and Atlanta Braves meet Thursday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs. Cubs Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs. Cubs Pick.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 27-16 on the year and play the Brewers and White Sox next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .246 on the season and have a .342 OBP, and a .406 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs’ pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 46 hits and 29 RBI, while Alex Bregman and Pete Crow-Armstrong have combined for 78 hits and 31 RBI.

Ben Brown gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 1-1 with a 1.82 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Brown is 0-1 with a 3.24 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 30-13 on the year and play the Marlins and Red Sox next. The Atlanta Braves are batting. 272 on the season and have a .334 OBP, and a .453 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 3.06 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Ozzie Albies leads the Atlanta Braves with 49 hits and 25 RBI, while Drake Baldwin and Matt Olson have combined for 94 hits and 66 RBI.

Chris Sale gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 6-2 with a 2.20 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. Sale is 3-2 with a 1.59 ERA and 50 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The home team has won 11 of the Cubs’ last 12 games.
• The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight games at Truist Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Braves have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites following a home win.
• The underdogs have won three of the Braves’ last four games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last seven Thursday road games against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in 11 of their last 14 home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last nine games between the Cubs and Braves at Truist Park has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Cubs’ last eight games as underdogs against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight Thursday night games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Braves’ last seven games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last six home appearances.
• Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Braves as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Chris Sale ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (6) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Carson Kelly has hit a home run in each of his two previous road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight night games.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T10th in the league in Steals (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (237).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (402).
• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (201).
• The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).

Braves vs Cubs Prediction

Brown is having a great season through 29.2 frames with a 1.82 ERA and 0.91 WHIP, but I’m not stepping in front of these Braves, especially at home with their ace on the bump. Sale will be an all-star for a third straight season, as he has a 2.20 ERA and 0.88 WHIP through 49 innings and 56 strikeouts. Through 24 home innings, Sale has a 0.75 ERA and .159 allowed batting average. The Braves are firing on all cylinders and you can still get them at respectable prices. I’m rolling with the Braves.