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Braves vs Dodgers Prediction 5/10/26 MLB Picks Today

Atlanta Braves (27-13) vs. LA Dodgers (24-15)
May 10, 2026 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -136 / Atlanta Braves 113; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Dodgers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, May 10th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 24-15 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL West. They have a 13-7 home record and are coming off a 2-7 loss at home against the Braves. They will face the Giants and the Angels next.

The Dodgers have a .269 batting average this season, .347 OBP and .440 Slugging percentage. Los Angeles’ pitching staff has a 3.17 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Andy Pages is the team’s best hitter with a .333 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 35. Max Muncy adds a team‑high 9 home runs.

Justin Wrobleski (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers, and he has a 5-0 record, 1.25 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 27-13 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 15-7 away record and are coming off a 7-2 win on the road against the Dodgers. They will face the Cubs and the Red Sox next.

The Braves have a .271 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .450 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.17 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .315 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 35, also adding a team‑high 13 home runs.

Bryce Elder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 3-1 record, 2.02 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: May 10, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Justin Wrobleski      Record this season: 5-0      ERA: 1.25
  • Home Record: 2-0
  • Last 5 against Braves: –

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last nine day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Dodgers following a win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Dodgers following a win.
  • The Dodgers have won the first inning in six of their last eight day games against the Braves.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Sunday games against the Braves at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against the Braves at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Elder      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 2.02
  • Road Record: 1-1
  • Last 5 against Dodgers: 1-1

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last three games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Braves and Dodgers.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium following a loss.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Braves’ last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Dodgers’ last 11 day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Braves’ last 10 road games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Dodgers’ last seven day games against National League opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Andy Pages has hit at least one home run in two of the Dodgers’ last three games.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last nine day games.
  • Justin Wrobleski ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (5) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in five of his last eight appearances at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
  • Ozzie Albies ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (49) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (271).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (127).
  • The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (221).
  • The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (374).

Braves vs Dodgers Prediction

The Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Braves and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in LA.

In this Braves vs Dodgers Prediction, the Dodgers are coming as -135 home favorites. Both pitchers have been excellent this season with a combined 3.27 ERA and both bullpens have been top-5 in ERA this season, but the total is set at 9. I will gladly go under that number, as both teams combined for 9 and 4 total runs in the first two games of this series and both teams have scored three runs or less in six of their last eight games combined. Take the under 9 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Under 9

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