Braves vs. Marlins Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/25/23
Miami Marlins (12-11) vs. Atlanta Braves (15-8)
April 25, 2023 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -240 / Miami Marlins +200; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves meet in an NL East division matchup in MLB action from Truist Park on Tuesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Atlanta is a -240 home favorite while Miami is a +200 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Bryan Hoeing will start for Miami and will make his season debut after going 1-1 with a 12.08 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. Charlie Morton will start for Atlanta and is 2-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Atlanta’s 11-0 win over the Marlins on Monday made it five straight meetings between these two teams without back-to-back winners in this matchup.
Trends
Miami is 14-32 in their last 46 division games and 8-3 in their last 11 games overall while the under is 12-3-2 in their last 17 games against a team with a winning record. Atlanta is 93-45 in their last 138 games overall and 47-19 in their last 66 home games while the over is 28-10-3 in their last 41 games against a team with a winning record.
Pick
I’m backing the over here. I just don’t trust the pitching matchup here, as Morton’s been better at home but he gives up runs in bunches, and even if we get a solid outing from him here, the Braves showed on Monday how well they can swing the bat and I look for another high-scoring one here.